Projected Income Statement: Kao Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -208,332 -140,412 -153,183 -226,654 -80,140 -184,646 -221,668 -268,138
Change - 32.6% -9.1% -47.96% 64.64% -130.4% -20.05% -20.96%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 87,766 94,567 93,178 93,530 101,136 89,163 90,300 91,117
Change - 7.75% -1.47% 0.38% 8.13% -11.84% 1.28% 0.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 108,292 - 109,303 108,055 98,544 128,953 139,784 153,759
Change - - - -1.14% -8.8% 30.86% 8.4% 10%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.27% 12.88% 9.76% 14.43% 14.8% 15.66% 15.69% 16.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.12% 7.1% 3.92% 9.01% 9.72% 10.5% 10.8% 11.3%
EBT Margin (%) 10.57% 7.47% 4.17% 9.27% 10.06% 10.77% 11.12% 11.58%
Net margin (%) 7.73% 5.55% 2.86% 6.62% 7.11% 7.66% 7.86% 8.23%
FCF margin (%) 7.63% - 7.13% 6.64% 5.84% 7.25% 7.57% 8.08%
FCF / Net Income (%) 98.77% - 249.15% 100.27% 82.06% 94.59% 96.41% 98.18%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.9% 6.75% 3.65% 8.3% 6.42% 7.09% 7.25% 7.58%
ROE 11.6% 8.9% 4.5% 10.5% 11.3% 12.54% 12.87% 13.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.19% 6.1% 6.08% 5.74% 5.99% 5.01% 4.89% 4.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.02% 47.33% 62.27% 39.79% 40.47% 32% 31.18% 29.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 81.05% - 85.25% 86.56% 102.63% 69.14% 64.6% 59.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 207.1 187.2 143.6 211.1 223.2 240.5 248.7 272.7
Change - -9.62% -23.32% 47.07% 5.71% 7.74% 3.4% 9.65%
Dividend per Share 1 72 74 75 76 77 78.08 79.29 80.41
Change - 2.78% 1.35% 1.33% 1.32% 1.41% 1.55% 1.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,018 1,046 1,058 1,148 1,176 1,237 1,306 1,392
Change - 2.68% 1.19% 8.54% 2.43% 5.17% 5.57% 6.61%
EPS 1 115.3 91.64 47.18 116 130.2 151.1 161.8 176
Change - -20.52% -48.51% 145.78% 12.23% 16.12% 7.03% 8.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 947,760 929,661 929,726 928,972 904,635 904,642 904,642 904,642
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22x 20.6x
PBR 2.69x 2.55x
EV / Sales 1.59x 1.51x
Yield 2.35% 2.38%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
3,327.00JPY
Average target price
3,680.77JPY
Spread / Average Target
+10.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 4452 Stock
  4. Financials Kao Corporation