Projected Income Statement: Kao Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kao Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - Kao Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -208,332 -140,412 -153,183 -226,654 -80,140 -189,201 -226,174 -271,896
Change - 32.6% -9.1% -47.96% 64.64% -136.09% -19.54% -20.22%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 87,766 94,567 93,178 93,530 101,136 87,854 88,829 89,529
Change - 7.75% -1.47% 0.38% 8.13% -13.13% 1.11% 0.79%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 108,292 - 109,303 108,055 98,544 131,037 143,332 155,089
Change - - - -1.14% -8.8% 32.97% 9.38% 8.2%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.27% 12.88% 9.76% 14.43% 14.8% 15.7% 15.91% 16.29%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.12% 7.1% 3.92% 9.01% 9.72% 10.65% 11.02% 11.53%
EBT Margin (%) 10.57% 7.47% 4.17% 9.27% 10.06% 10.94% 11.32% 11.83%
Net margin (%) 7.73% 5.55% 2.86% 6.62% 7.11% 7.67% 7.95% 8.29%
FCF margin (%) 7.63% - 7.13% 6.64% 5.84% 7.26% 7.66% 8%
FCF / Net Income (%) 98.77% - 249.15% 100.27% 82.06% 94.6% 96.34% 96.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.9% 6.75% 3.65% 8.3% 6.42% 7.23% 7.65% 7.9%
ROE 11.6% 8.9% 4.5% 10.5% 11.3% 12.85% 13.15% 13.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.19% 6.1% 6.08% 5.74% 5.99% 4.87% 4.75% 4.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.02% 47.33% 62.27% 39.79% 40.47% 30.99% 29.84% 28.36%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 81.05% - 85.25% 86.56% 102.63% 67.05% 61.97% 57.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 207.1 187.2 143.6 211.1 223.2 248.5 262.2 287.6
Change - -9.62% -23.32% 47.07% 5.71% 11.32% 5.53% 9.67%
Dividend per Share 1 72 74 75 76 77 78.12 79.73 81.88
Change - 2.78% 1.35% 1.33% 1.32% 1.45% 2.07% 2.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,018 1,046 1,058 1,148 1,176 1,245 1,317 1,406
Change - 2.68% 1.19% 8.54% 2.43% 5.88% 5.72% 6.8%
EPS 1 115.3 91.64 47.18 116 130.2 154.6 167.3 181.9
Change - -20.52% -48.51% 145.78% 12.23% 18.79% 8.19% 8.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 947,760 929,661 929,726 928,972 904,635 904,758 904,758 904,758
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24.1x 22.3x
PBR 2.99x 2.83x
EV / Sales 1.76x 1.68x
Yield 2.1% 2.14%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Kao Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Kao Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Kao Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Kao Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
3,722.00JPY
Average target price
4,112.86JPY
Spread / Average Target
+10.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Kao Corporation
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