Projected Income Statement: Intercos S.p.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Intercos S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 127 90.7 100 97.7 100 114 82.4 53.2
Change - -28.58% 10.25% -2.3% 2.35% 13.45% -27.72% -35.44%
Announcement Date 3/23/22 3/14/23 3/20/24 3/4/25 3/4/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Intercos S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 39.08 51.62 53.65 61.43 67.42 67.7 68.59 68.62
Change - 32.1% 3.94% 14.49% 9.75% 0.42% 1.3% 0.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 22.98 25.59 48.22 34.26 49.36 45.72 55.46 64.42
Change - 11.34% 88.41% -28.95% 44.1% -7.37% 21.29% 16.16%
Announcement Date 3/23/22 3/14/23 3/20/24 3/4/25 3/4/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Intercos S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.01% 14.56% 13.91% 13.46% 14.9% 14.88% 15.16% 15.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.35% 8.48% 9.32% 8.8% 9.85% 9.96% 10.33% 10.68%
EBT Margin (%) 5.89% 7.98% 7.33% 6.95% 7.08% 8.66% 9.53% 10.09%
Net margin (%) 3.93% 5.39% 5.3% 4.58% 4.78% 5.94% 6.55% 6.94%
FCF margin (%) 3.41% 3.06% 4.88% 3.22% 4.71% 4.16% 4.77% 5.25%
FCF / Net Income (%) 86.74% 56.87% 92.12% 70.2% 98.53% 69.92% 72.8% 75.6%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 8.52% 11.66% 13.08% 12.21% 11.87% 13.18% 13.98% 14.84%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.25x 0.74x 0.73x 0.68x 0.64x 0.7x 0.47x 0.28x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.51x 3.54x 2.08x 2.85x 2.04x 2.49x 1.49x 0.83x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.8% 6.18% 5.43% 5.77% 6.44% 6.15% 5.89% 5.59%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.65% 42.41% 39.03% 42.87% 43.22% 41.35% 38.88% 36.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 170.01% 201.7% 111.27% 179.31% 136.57% 148.07% 123.67% 106.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6686 0.8064 1.072 1.032 1.23 1.173 1.307 1.41
Change - 20.61% 32.92% -3.68% 19.17% -4.69% 11.48% 7.89%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 0.2368 0.2778 0.3079
Change - - - - - - 17.33% 10.82%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.834 4.345 4.649 4.952 5.04 5.529 6.033 6.743
Change - 13.31% 7.01% 6.53% 1.76% 9.72% 9.12% 11.76%
EPS 1 0.29 0.47 0.54 0.5 0.51 0.6754 0.7986 0.8875
Change - 62.07% 14.89% -7.41% 2% 32.43% 18.24% 11.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 95,742 96,258 96,258 96,258 96,364 93,867 93,867 93,867
Announcement Date 3/23/22 3/14/23 3/20/24 3/4/25 3/4/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.6x 17.5x
PBR 2.52x 2.31x
EV / Sales 1.29x 1.2x
Yield 1.7% 1.99%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
13.94EUR
Average target price
16.40EUR
Spread / Average Target
+17.65%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise