Projected Income Statement: Hesai Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - -895 -1,269 -2,570 -937 -2,771 -2,893 -3,932
Change - - -41.79% -102.52% 63.54% -195.88% -4.4% -35.91%
Announcement Date 1/17/23 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.4 414.7 271.4 342.2 397 324.1 357.1
Change - 72.5% -34.56% 26.1% 16.02% -18.37% 10.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -936.4 -357.4 -207.9 -225.2 -228.5 207.2 431.8
Change - 61.83% 41.84% -8.35% -1.46% 190.69% 108.37%
Announcement Date 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - -26.99% -25.86% -3.52% 9.66% 13.95% 17.93% 20.43%
EBIT Margin (%) - -31.45% -30.45% -9.86% 5.57% 10.08% 14.15% 16.81%
EBT Margin (%) - -25.01% -25.32% -4.87% 15.42% 13.61% 16.61% 18.27%
Net margin (%) - -62.13% -25.36% -4.93% 14.4% 12.62% 14.82% 15.97%
FCF margin (%) - -77.86% -19.04% -10.01% -7.44% -5.23% 3.38% 5.37%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 125.32% 75.09% 203.03% -51.67% -41.44% 22.8% 33.59%

Profitability

        
ROA - -19.17% -10.02% -1.76% 5.05% 4.35% 7.18% 8.3%
ROE - -6.64% -67.31% -2.63% 6.76% 6.33% 10.42% 11.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 19.99% 22.09% 13.06% 11.3% 9.09% 5.29% 4.44%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - -74.06% -85.44% -371.22% 116.97% 65.17% 29.48% 21.72%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -25.67% -116.02% -130.55% -151.95% -173.74% 156.38% 82.7%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - -6.024 0.4589 0.4916 0.7989 5.361 5.456 8.43
Change - - 107.62% 7.11% 62.53% 571.03% 1.78% 54.49%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - -27.22 30.41 29.98 64.38 60.16 66.21 74.54
Change - - 211.69% -1.41% 114.78% -6.56% 10.07% 12.58%
EPS 1 -23.39 -6.47 -3.81 -0.79 2.98 3.601 6.207 8.82
Change - 72.34% 41.11% 79.27% 477.22% 20.85% 72.36% 42.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - 125,535 127,478 156,142 156,440 156,440 156,440
Announcement Date 1/17/23 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 29.9x 17.3x
PBR 1.79x 1.63x
EV / Sales 3.22x 2.27x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
107.62CNY
Average target price
205.29CNY
Spread / Average Target
+90.75%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise