Projected Income Statement: Hesai Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - -895 -1,269 -2,570 -937 -2,337 -2,667 -3,621
Change - - -41.79% -102.52% 63.54% -149.54% -14.12% -35.77%
Announcement Date 1/17/23 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.4 414.7 271.4 342.2 388.2 323.4 353.2
Change - 72.5% -34.56% 26.1% 13.44% -16.69% 9.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -936.4 -357.4 -207.9 -225.2 -280.8 207.9 431.8
Change - 61.83% 41.84% -8.35% -24.67% 174.05% 107.68%
Announcement Date 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - -26.99% -25.86% -3.52% 9.66% 14.18% 17.65% 20.24%
EBIT Margin (%) - -31.45% -30.45% -9.86% 5.57% 10.42% 13.93% 16.67%
EBT Margin (%) - -25.01% -25.32% -4.87% 15.42% 13.7% 16.45% 18.17%
Net margin (%) - -62.13% -25.36% -4.93% 14.4% 12.69% 14.78% 16.03%
FCF margin (%) - -77.86% -19.04% -10.01% -7.44% -6.44% 3.39% 5.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 125.32% 75.09% 203.03% -51.67% -50.75% 22.94% 33.56%

Profitability

        
ROA - -19.17% -10.02% -1.76% 5.05% 4.78% 7.07% 8.2%
ROE - -6.64% -67.31% -2.63% 6.76% 6.44% 10.45% 11.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 19.99% 22.09% 13.06% 11.3% 8.9% 5.27% 4.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - -74.06% -85.44% -371.22% 116.97% 62.78% 29.88% 21.74%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -25.67% -116.02% -130.55% -151.95% -138.26% 155.55% 81.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - -6.024 0.4589 0.4916 0.7989 5.184 5.686 8.678
Change - - 107.62% 7.11% 62.53% 548.86% 9.69% 52.63%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - -27.22 30.41 29.98 64.38 60.22 66.18 74.53
Change - - 211.69% -1.41% 114.78% -6.47% 9.9% 12.62%
EPS 1 -23.39 -6.47 -3.81 -0.79 2.98 3.593 6.175 8.772
Change - 72.34% 41.11% 79.27% 477.22% 20.58% 71.84% 42.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - 125,535 127,478 157,142 156,440 156,440 156,440
Announcement Date 1/17/23 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 28x 16.3x
PBR 1.67x 1.52x
EV / Sales 3.08x 2.13x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
100.68CNY
Average target price
205.87CNY
Spread / Average Target
+104.48%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise