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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 199.77 CAD | +3.43% |
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+3.63% | -6.41% |
| 06-10 | FirstService's Subsidiary Roofing Corp of America Acquires Schefers Roofing | MT |
| 06-02 | Tranche Update on FirstService Corporation's Equity Buyback Plan announced on August 19, 2025. | CI |
Projected Income Statement: FirstService Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 3,249 | 3,746 | 4,335 | 5,217 | 5,498 | 5,820 | 6,193 | 6,409 |
| Change | - | 15.29% | 15.72% | 20.36% | 5.38% | 5.86% | 6.42% | 3.49% |
| EBITDA 1 | 327.4 | 351.7 | 415.7 | 513.7 | 562.8 | 590.5 | 635 | 656.3 |
| Change | - | 7.44% | 18.19% | 23.56% | 9.56% | 4.92% | 7.54% | 3.36% |
| EBIT 1 | 201.6 | 219 | 244.9 | 337.5 | 338.1 | 360.7 | 405.8 | 434.2 |
| Change | - | 8.62% | 11.81% | 37.82% | 0.17% | 6.69% | 12.5% | 7% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -16.04 | -25.19 | -47.36 | -82.85 | -73.7 | -59.45 | -50.3 | -35.85 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 209 | 194 | 203.3 | 257.9 | 266.5 | 299 | 346.1 | 361.7 |
| Change | - | -7.19% | 4.82% | 26.83% | 3.34% | 12.2% | 15.75% | 4.49% |
| Net income 1 | 135.2 | 121.1 | 100.4 | 134.4 | 145 | 185.1 | 216.9 | 243 |
| Change | - | -10.46% | -17.08% | 33.85% | 7.94% | 27.63% | 17.17% | 12.03% |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/6/24 | 2/5/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: FirstService Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | 598 | 994 | 1,055 | 928 | 689 | 352 | 67.9 |
| Change | - | - | 66.22% | 6.14% | -12.04% | -25.77% | -48.91% | -80.71% |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/6/24 | 2/5/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: FirstService Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 58.2 | 77.61 | 92.73 | 112.8 | 127.7 | 132.4 | 141.1 | 146.1 |
| Change | - | 33.34% | 19.49% | 21.64% | 13.22% | 3.66% | 6.62% | 3.54% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 109.1 | 28.28 | 187.6 | 172.9 | 318.2 | 308.5 | 313.6 | 373.2 |
| Change | - | -74.07% | 563.36% | -7.86% | 84.08% | -3.07% | 1.68% | 19% |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/6/24 | 2/5/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: FirstService Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 10.08% | 9.39% | 9.59% | 9.85% | 10.24% | 10.15% | 10.25% | 10.24% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 6.21% | 5.85% | 5.65% | 6.47% | 6.15% | 6.2% | 6.55% | 6.77% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 6.43% | 5.18% | 4.69% | 4.94% | 4.85% | 5.14% | 5.59% | 5.64% |
| Net margin (%) | 4.16% | 3.23% | 2.32% | 2.58% | 2.64% | 3.18% | 3.5% | 3.79% |
| FCF margin (%) | 3.36% | 0.76% | 4.33% | 3.31% | 5.79% | 5.3% | 5.06% | 5.82% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 80.66% | 23.36% | 186.9% | 128.65% | 219.4% | 166.62% | 144.59% | 153.59% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | - | 4.58% | 3.13% | 3.44% | 3.42% | 4.23% | 4.37% | 4.45% |
| ROE | 18.52% | 14.18% | 10.39% | 12.15% | 11.32% | 15.47% | 15.43% | 11.89% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 1.7x | 2.39x | 2.05x | 1.65x | 1.17x | 0.55x | 0.1x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 21.15x | 5.3x | 6.1x | 2.92x | 2.23x | 1.12x | 0.18x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.79% | 2.07% | 2.14% | 2.16% | 2.32% | 2.27% | 2.28% | 2.28% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 17.78% | 22.06% | 22.31% | 21.96% | 22.69% | 22.42% | 22.23% | 22.27% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 53.37% | 274.39% | 49.42% | 65.25% | 40.13% | 42.91% | 45% | 39.15% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 5.826 | 2.38 | 6.481 | 7.616 | 8.824 | 9.562 | 10.01 | 10.81 |
| Change | - | -59.15% | 172.33% | 17.51% | 15.86% | 8.36% | 4.66% | 8.03% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 0.81 | 0.9 | 1 | - | 1.195 | 1.3 | 1.429 |
| Change | - | - | 11.11% | 11.11% | - | - | 8.81% | 9.96% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | - | 20.52 | 22.92 | 26.23 | 30.07 | 34.45 | 38.51 | 42.82 |
| Change | - | - | 11.7% | 14.44% | 14.65% | 14.55% | 11.79% | 11.19% |
| EPS 1 | 3.05 | 2.72 | 2.24 | 2.97 | 3.17 | 4.035 | 4.722 | 5.339 |
| Change | - | -10.82% | -17.65% | 32.59% | 6.73% | 27.28% | 17.04% | 13.07% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 43,930 | 44,214 | 44,633 | 45,262 | 45,712 | 45,982 | 45,982 | 45,982 |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/6/24 | 2/5/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 34.9x | 29.8x |
| PBR | 4.09x | 3.66x |
| EV / Sales | 1.23x | 1.1x |
| Yield | 0.85% | 0.92% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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