Projected Income Statement: Experian plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 3,917 3,897 3,954 4,648 5,234 5,496 4,700 3,694
Change - -0.51% 1.46% 17.55% 12.61% 5.01% -14.48% -21.4%
Announcement Date 5/18/22 5/17/23 5/15/24 5/14/25 5/20/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 485 627 640 651 726 746.8 754.5 785.3
Change - 29.28% 2.07% 1.72% 11.52% 2.86% 1.04% 4.07%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,311 1,090 1,107 1,354 1,513 1,899 2,057 2,270
Change - -16.86% 1.56% 22.31% 11.74% 25.49% 8.36% 10.31%
Announcement Date 5/18/22 5/17/23 5/15/24 5/14/25 5/20/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.86% 34.39% 34.51% 34.96% 35.64% 36.12% 36.58% 36.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.16% 27.1% 27.17% 27.69% 28.38% 29.03% 29.61% 30.22%
EBT Margin (%) 23.01% 17.74% 21.85% 20.59% 23.1% 23.39% 24.74% 26.13%
Net margin (%) 18.53% 11.63% 16.89% 15.5% 17.79% 17.47% 18.48% 19.34%
FCF margin (%) 20.85% 16.47% 15.6% 18% 17.92% 20.68% 20.84% 21.36%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.53% 141.56% 92.33% 116.12% 100.73% 118.37% 112.76% 110.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.86% 7.08% 10.62% 11.66% 11.05% 11.55% 12.49% 13.27%
ROE 32.28% 19.5% 28% 29.6% 28.34% 33.09% 35.85% 36.62%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.84x 1.71x 1.61x 1.77x 1.74x 1.66x 1.3x 0.94x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.99x 3.58x 3.57x 3.43x 3.46x 2.89x 2.28x 1.63x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.71% 9.47% 9.02% 8.65% 8.6% 8.13% 7.64% 7.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.78% 27.55% 26.13% 24.75% 24.12% 22.52% 20.89% 20.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.99% 57.52% 57.81% 48.08% 47.98% 39.33% 36.67% 34.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.95 1.864 1.897 2.175 2.436 2.912 3.296 3.597
Change - -4.4% 1.75% 14.64% 12.03% 19.52% 13.17% 9.14%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5175 0.5475 0.585 0.625 0.6925 0.7684 0.8616 0.9562
Change - 5.8% 6.85% 6.84% 10.8% 10.95% 12.13% 10.99%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.304 4.266 5.032 5.482 6.034 5.92 6.62 7.47
Change - -0.89% 17.94% 8.95% 10.07% -1.89% 11.82% 12.84%
EPS 1 1.248 0.836 1.302 1.265 1.634 1.816 2.104 2.382
Change - -33.01% 55.74% -2.84% 29.17% 11.14% 15.87% 13.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 914,038 912,453 912,895 913,734 899,266 884,533 884,533 884,533
Announcement Date 5/18/22 5/17/23 5/15/24 5/14/25 5/20/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 20.9x 18.1x
PBR 6.42x 5.74x
EV / Sales 4.26x 3.88x
Yield 2.02% 2.27%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
38.02USD
Average target price
50.22USD
Spread / Average Target
+32.09%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. EXPN Stock
  4. Financials Experian plc
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