Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 28,446 24,979 21,084
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 7.17% -12.19% -15.59%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 8,067 8,039 7,959
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 13.78% -0.35% -1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,062 11,697 12,896
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 20.23% 16.25% 10.25%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.78% 18.36% 18.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.96% 13.51% 13.96%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.61% 12.4% 12.88%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.65% 9.22% 9.6%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.2% 8.08% 8.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 83.24% 87.67% 90.6%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.04% 7.34% 7.69%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.28% 14.55% 14.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.14x 0.94x 0.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.83x 2.14x 1.63x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.77% 5.56% 5.37%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 32.45% 30.27% 28.59%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 80.18% 68.73% 61.71%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.9 29 31.09
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 19.88% 7.81% 7.22%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 - 9.185 9.705 10.23
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% - - 5.66% 5.39%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 133.8 143.5 155.1
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 7.69% 7.22% 8.07%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.81 19.88 21.35
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -3.07% 11.65% 7.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 679,243 679,243 679,243
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.4x 13.8x
PBR 2.05x 1.91x
EV / Sales 1.53x 1.46x
Yield 3.35% 3.54%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
274.00SEK
Average target price
269.13SEK
Spread / Average Target
-1.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise