Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 29,000 25,110 21,277
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 9.26% -13.41% -15.26%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 8,061 7,921 7,819
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 13.69% -1.73% -1.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,269 11,906 12,998
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 22.7% 15.95% 9.17%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.87% 18.41% 18.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.98% 13.53% 13.97%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.7% 12.42% 12.9%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.7% 9.25% 9.63%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.38% 8.28% 8.81%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 84.87% 89.45% 91.57%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.04% 7.34% 7.69%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.49% 14.69% 14.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.17x 0.95x 0.77x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.82x 2.11x 1.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.79% 5.51% 5.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 32.43% 29.91% 28.25%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 78.5% 66.53% 60.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.94 28.92 30.99
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 20.07% 7.36% 7.15%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 - 9.199 9.674 10.21
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% - - 5.16% 5.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 133.6 143.1 154.3
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 7.49% 7.1% 7.85%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.83 19.81 21.26
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -2.95% 11.11% 7.31%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 680,705 680,705 680,705
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 14.7x 13.3x
PBR 1.97x 1.84x
EV / Sales 1.49x 1.42x
Yield 3.5% 3.68%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
262.60SEK
Average target price
265.07SEK
Spread / Average Target
+0.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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