Projected Income Statement: Emperador Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Emperador Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,597 11,063 15,454 23,693 31,907 30,170 30,647 27,544
Change - -33.34% 39.69% 53.31% 34.67% -5.44% 1.58% -10.12%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/16/23 4/30/24 5/2/25 5/15/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Emperador Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,739 4,003 4,785 7,510 6,676 4,000 3,000 4,000
Change - 130.23% 19.53% 56.96% -11.11% -40.08% -25% 33.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 14,676 4,139 2,365 -2,209 268.4 1,696 3,062 3,495
Change - -71.8% -42.86% -193.39% 112.15% 531.84% 80.51% 14.15%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/16/23 4/30/24 5/2/25 5/15/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Emperador Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.22% 21.99% 20.97% 18.49% 16.23% 18.79% 20% 19.72%
EBIT Margin (%) 25.18% 19.74% 19.07% 15.95% 13.23% 15% 16.42% 15.96%
EBT Margin (%) 23.05% 18.66% 16.67% 13.17% 9.69% 12.89% 15.43% 15.17%
Net margin (%) 17.83% 16.03% 13.26% 10.26% 6.76% 10.65% 12.05% 11.42%
FCF margin (%) 26.24% 6.59% 3.6% -3.58% 0.47% 2.89% 4.63% 5.25%
FCF / Net Income (%) 147.18% 41.14% 27.17% -34.94% 6.96% 27.11% 38.46% 45.94%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.95% 7.46% 6.01% 4.1% 2.28% 3.66% 4.64% 4.72%
ROE 13.82% 12.19% 9.6% 6.54% 3.74% 5.55% 5.88% 6.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.09x 0.8x 1.12x 2.08x 3.45x 2.73x 2.32x 2.1x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.13x 2.67x 6.53x -10.73x 118.86x 17.79x 10.01x 7.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.11% 6.38% 7.29% 12.18% 11.7% 6.81% 4.54% 6.01%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.42% 29% 34.76% 65.88% 72.11% 36.23% 22.7% 30.46%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.85% 96.72% 202.32% -340.02% 2,486.96% 235.84% 97.99% 114.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.9551 0.8863 0.4379 0.7024 0.4256 0.4403 0.6048 0.5546
Change - -7.21% -50.59% 60.4% -39.41% 3.44% 37.37% -8.29%
Dividend per Share 1 0.23 0.29 0.24 0.19 0.1351 0.1029 0.1808 0.1649
Change - 26.09% -17.24% -20.83% -28.89% -23.86% 75.81% -8.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.939 5.577 5.969 6.316 6.776 6.941 7.194 7.578
Change - 12.92% 7.03% 5.83% 7.28% 2.43% 3.64% 5.34%
EPS 1 0.63 0.64 0.53 0.39 0.24 0.3928 0.502 0.4854
Change - 1.59% -17.19% -26.42% -38.46% 63.66% 27.8% -3.31%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 15,736,471 15,736,471 15,736,471 15,736,471 15,738,671 15,749,971 15,749,971 15,749,971
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/16/23 4/30/24 5/2/25 5/15/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 38.9x 30.4x
PBR 2.2x 2.12x
EV / Sales 4.61x 4.11x
Yield 0.67% 1.18%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
15.28PHP
Average target price
9.580PHP
Spread / Average Target
-37.30%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. EMI Stock
  4. Financials Emperador Inc.
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