Projected Income Statement: Elis

Forecast Balance Sheet: Elis

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,599 3,663 3,026 3,038 3,020 3,215 3,069 2,891
Change - 1.78% -17.39% 0.4% -0.59% 6.45% -4.54% -5.8%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Elis

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 552.8 673.3 797.1 860.8 874.7 931.4 978.5 1,017
Change - 21.8% 18.39% 7.99% 1.61% 6.49% 5.05% 3.93%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 408.8 417.9 303.6 346.4 358.6 388.6 413.9 425.8
Change - 2.23% -27.35% 14.1% 3.52% 8.37% 6.51% 2.88%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Elis

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.51% 32.97% 34.22% 35.2% 35.44% 35.43% 35.52% 35.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.74% 14.23% 15.85% 16.03% 15.98% 15.92% 15.88% 16%
EBT Margin (%) 5.61% 7.46% 8.65% 10.19% 10.28% 10.5% 11.13% 11.58%
Net margin (%) 3.76% 5.35% 6.09% 7.39% 7.64% 7.45% 7.79% 8.07%
FCF margin (%) 13.41% 10.94% 7.05% 7.57% 7.48% 7.7% 7.87% 7.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 357.03% 204.25% 115.66% 102.55% 97.82% 103.45% 101.11% 96.6%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.8% 2.46% 2.93% 3.61% 3.87% 4.37% 4.52% 4.75%
ROE 7.65% 11.35% 12.96% 12.62% 12.61% 13.03% 13.06% 13.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.42x 2.91x 2.05x 1.89x 1.78x 1.8x 1.64x 1.48x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.8x 8.77x 9.97x 8.77x 8.42x 8.27x 7.42x 6.79x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.13% 17.62% 18.5% 18.82% 18.24% 18.46% 18.61% 18.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 52.54% 53.45% 54.05% 53.47% 51.45% 52.1% 52.4% 52.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 135.23% 161.12% 262.55% 248.5% 243.92% 239.69% 236.4% 238.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.283 4.587 5.353 5.572 5.83 5.989 6.115 6.421
Change - 7.09% 16.71% 4.09% 4.63% 2.73% 2.11% 4.99%
Dividend per Share 1 0.37 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.5254 0.5679 0.608
Change - 10.81% 4.88% 4.65% 6.67% 9.47% 8.08% 7.05%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.45 13.97 14.85 15.38 16.29 16.69 18.01 19.44
Change - 3.84% 6.32% 3.52% 5.96% 2.42% 7.94% 7.93%
EPS 1 0.51 0.86 1.06 1.35 1.46 1.582 1.751 1.911
Change - 68.63% 23.26% 27.36% 8.15% 8.33% 10.69% 9.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 223,957 230,009 233,899 236,468 232,609 214,549 214,549 214,549
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.4x 13.9x
PBR 1.46x 1.35x
EV / Sales 1.67x 1.58x
Yield 2.16% 2.33%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
24.38EUR
Average target price
29.82EUR
Spread / Average Target
+22.31%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise