Projected Income Statement: DHL Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group

Forecast Balance Sheet - DHL Group
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,366 15,856 17,739 18,998 21,516 22,604 22,794 22,688
Change - -3.12% 11.88% 7.1% 13.25% 5.06% 0.84% -0.47%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,546 4,123 3,370 3,066 2,950 2,932 3,289 3,393
Change - 16.27% -18.26% -9.02% -3.78% -0.6% 12.15% 3.18%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,092 3,067 2,942 5,656 2,295 3,656 3,732 4,008
Change - -25.05% -4.08% 92.25% -59.42% 59.31% 2.06% 7.42%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.37% 13.36% 13.24% 12.6% 13.24% 13.58% 13.72% 13.8%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.76% 8.93% 7.76% 6.99% 7.37% 7.89% 8.05% 8.18%
EBT Margin (%) 9% 8.38% 6.75% 6.01% 6.33% 6.84% 7.04% 7.21%
Net margin (%) 6.18% 5.67% 4.5% 3.96% 4.23% 4.5% 4.63% 4.74%
FCF margin (%) 5.01% 3.25% 3.6% 6.72% 2.77% 4.16% 4.12% 4.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 80.98% 57.23% 80.01% 169.75% 65.55% 92.51% 89% 90.28%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.5% 8.13% 7.98% 7.41% 4.97% 5.44% 5.82% 5.98%
ROE 30.8% 25.35% 19.22% 17.71% 16% 17.07% 17.6% 17.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.26x 1.64x 1.79x 1.96x 1.89x 1.84x 1.75x
Debt / Free cash flow 4x 5.17x 6.03x 3.36x 9.38x 6.18x 6.11x 5.66x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.34% 4.37% 4.12% 3.64% 3.56% 3.34% 3.63% 3.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.19% 32.69% 31.14% 28.91% 26.89% 24.57% 26.5% 26.25%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 86.66% 134.43% 114.55% 54.21% 128.54% 80.2% 88.12% 84.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.11 9.03 7.79 7.343 7.928 6.614 7.185 7.231
Change - 11.34% -13.73% -5.74% 7.97% -16.57% 8.62% 0.64%
Dividend per Share 1 1.8 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.9 1.999 2.106 2.211
Change - 2.78% 0% 0% 2.7% 5.21% 5.37% 4.96%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.45 19.14 16.01 15.95 19.6 21.1 22.28 24.04
Change - 23.91% -16.36% -0.4% 22.93% 7.65% 5.6% 7.88%
EPS 1 4.01 4.33 3.04 2.81 3.04 3.514 3.793 4.057
Change - 7.98% -29.79% -7.57% 8.19% 15.6% 7.94% 6.96%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,224,639 1,205,059 1,182,263 1,153,116 1,121,383 1,107,368 1,107,368 1,107,368
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16x 14.8x
PBR 2.66x 2.52x
EV / Sales 0.97x 0.94x
Yield 3.56% 3.75%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - DHL Group


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - DHL Group
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - DHL Group
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Ratings Surperformance© - DHL Group
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
56.16EUR
Average target price
56.12EUR
Spread / Average Target
-0.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - DHL Group