Projected Income Statement: CP ALL

Forecast Balance Sheet: CP ALL

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 365,143 279,928 260,029 236,312 272,710 322,930 304,132 300,653
Change - -23.34% -7.11% -9.12% 15.4% 18.42% -5.82% -1.14%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/23/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CP ALL

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 14,072 25,698 24,270 22,915 24,475 30,740 30,978 31,212
Change - 82.62% -5.55% -5.58% 6.81% 25.6% 0.77% 0.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 32,247 44,176 62,902 53,254 49,781 49,070 47,477 51,087
Change - 36.99% 42.39% -15.34% -6.52% -1.43% -3.25% 7.6%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/23/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CP ALL

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.61% 8.73% 8.72% 9.1% 9.14% 9.1% 9.15% 9.24%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.22% 4.32% 4.63% 5.22% 5.33% 5.46% 5.54% 5.63%
EBT Margin (%) 2.23% 2.42% 2.95% 3.74% 3.93% 4.07% 4.21% 4.37%
Net margin (%) 2.3% 1.6% 2.06% 2.64% 2.85% 2.97% 3.07% 3.14%
FCF margin (%) 5.71% 5.33% 7.03% 5.55% 5.02% 4.71% 4.37% 4.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) 248.33% 332.85% 340.34% 210.11% 176.49% 158.8% 142.54% 143.31%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.78% 1.43% 2% 2.71% 2.93% 3.15% 3.37% 3.61%
ROE 12.93% 12.96% 17.46% 21.31% 21.29% 21.27% 20.78% 20.53%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 8.49x 3.87x 3.33x 2.71x 3.01x 3.41x 3.06x 2.87x
Debt / Free cash flow 11.32x 6.34x 4.13x 4.44x 5.48x 6.58x 6.41x 5.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.49% 3.1% 2.71% 2.39% 2.47% 2.95% 2.85% 2.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 32.73% 35.52% 31.1% 26.26% 27.03% 32.46% 31.18% 29.79%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 43.64% 58.17% 38.58% 43.03% 49.17% 62.65% 65.25% 61.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.156 7.778 9.704 8.479 8.295 7.816 8.044 8.496
Change - 50.85% 24.76% -12.62% -2.18% -5.78% 2.93% 5.61%
Dividend per Share 1 0.6 0.75 1 1 1.65 1.736 1.886 2.069
Change - 25% 33.33% 0% 65% 5.23% 8.61% 9.71%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.59 11.21 12.36 14.12 15.38 17.02 18.88 20.6
Change - -3.28% 10.2% 14.29% 8.89% 10.69% 10.92% 9.13%
EPS 1 1.33 1.39 2.01 2.77 3.1 3.431 3.721 4.002
Change - 4.51% 44.6% 37.81% 11.91% 10.67% 8.46% 7.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,983,101 8,983,101 8,983,101 8,983,101 8,911,503 8,911,503 8,911,503 8,911,503
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/23/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.1x 13x
PBR 2.85x 2.57x
EV / Sales 0.73x 0.68x
Yield 3.58% 3.89%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
48.50THB
Average target price
61.81THB
Spread / Average Target
+27.43%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise