Projected Income Statement: Cogstate Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Cogstate Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -42.3 -44.3 -43.6 -55.4 - -61.9 -75.6 -91.9
Change - -4.73% 1.58% -27.06% - - -22.13% -21.56%
Announcement Date 8/29/22 8/21/23 8/21/24 8/21/25 8/17/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Cogstate Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 0.6119 0.2056 - 3.494 7.878 7.668 7.95
Change - -66.39% - - - -2.67% 3.68%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13.48 0.8179 7.901 17.4 24.24 24.95 31.04
Change - -93.93% 866.05% 120.28% - 2.92% 24.42%
Announcement Date 8/29/22 8/21/23 8/21/24 8/21/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Cogstate Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.92% 13.08% 21.32% 30.06% 30.13% 31.06% 32.83% 34.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 23.75% 6.67% 15.01% 24.51% 25.05% 25.04% 27.22% 29.66%
EBT Margin (%) 23.77% 7.48% 16.35% 26.2% 26.47% 27.29% 29.33% 31.07%
Net margin (%) 16.72% 8.82% 12.55% 19.33% 19.54% 20.28% 21.72% 22.9%
FCF margin (%) 20.68% 1.29% 12.28% 21.3% - 22.64% 20.45% 22.26%
FCF / Net Income (%) 123.73% 14.65% 97.87% 110.18% - 111.66% 94.17% 97.22%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 7.06% 9.74% 16.55% - 20.8% 22.2% 23.1%
ROE 22.84% 11.25% 13.87% 22.84% - 21.97% 21.57% 27.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.94% 0.32% - 4.28% - 7.36% 6.29% 5.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.25% 2.48% - 14.23% - 23.7% 19.15% 16.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4.54% 25.14% - 20.08% - 32.5% 30.74% 25.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0797 0.00579 0.0495 0.1027 - 0.2037 0.1924 0.2458
Change - -92.74% 754.58% 107.52% - - -5.52% 27.74%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 0.0528 0.0637 0.0795
Change - - - - - - 20.82% 24.81%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 0.0616 0.0322 0.047 0.0908 0.0979 0.1257 0.1533 0.1852
Change - -47.68% 45.7% 93.31% 7.82% 28.39% 22.02% 20.78%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 173,368 173,186 170,779 168,927 169,884 169,919 169,919 169,919
Announcement Date 8/29/22 8/21/23 8/21/24 8/21/25 8/17/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 24.4x 20x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 4.29x 3.66x
Yield 1.72% 2.08%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
3.070AUD
Average target price
3.570AUD
Spread / Average Target
+16.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. CGS Stock
  4. Financials Cogstate Limited