Projected Income Statement: Cencora, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Cencora, Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,137 2,315 2,195 1,255 3,305 7,690 9,437 10,891
Change - -44.04% -5.18% -42.82% 163.35% 132.7% 22.72% 15.41%
Announcement Date 11/4/21 11/3/22 11/2/23 11/6/24 11/5/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Cencora, Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 438.2 496.3 458.4 487.2 668 875.7 784.3 822
Change - 13.26% -7.65% 6.29% 37.11% 31.09% -10.43% 4.8%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,228 2,207 3,453 2,998 3,207 3,048 3,572 4,065
Change - -0.97% 56.47% -13.19% 6.99% -4.97% 17.19% 13.81%
Announcement Date 11/4/21 11/3/22 11/2/23 11/6/24 11/5/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Cencora, Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 1.39% 1.49% 1.41% 1.39% 1.47% 1.59% 1.61% 1.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 1.24% 1.33% 1.25% 1.24% 1.31% 1.42% 1.44% 1.52%
EBT Margin (%) 1.04% 0.91% 0.82% 0.68% 0.7% - - -
Net margin (%) 0.72% 0.71% 0.67% 0.51% 0.48% 1.06% 0.81% 0.85%
FCF margin (%) 1.04% 0.92% 1.32% 1.02% 1% 0.9% 1.01% 1.09%
FCF / Net Income (%) 144.71% 129.9% 197.85% 198.63% 206.36% 85.12% 125.54% 128.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.03% 2.98% 2.93% 2.33% 2.16% 4.34% 3.2% 3.5%
ROE - 39,497.33% 473.26% 207.72% 246.47% 139.13% 60.3% 54.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 0.65x 0.59x 0.31x 0.7x 1.43x 1.66x 1.69x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.86x 1.05x 0.64x 0.42x 1.03x 2.52x 2.64x 2.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.2% 0.21% 0.17% 0.17% 0.21% 0.26% 0.22% 0.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.72% 13.97% 12.38% 11.94% 14.15% 16.31% 13.78% 12.74%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.67% 22.49% 13.27% 16.25% 20.83% 28.73% 21.96% 20.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.79 12.8 19.12 17.4 19.85 21.26 20.46 -
Change - 0.05% 49.38% -8.99% 14.09% 7.09% -3.74% -
Dividend per Share 1 1.78 1.84 1.94 2.04 2.2 2.377 2.434 2.533
Change - 3.37% 5.43% 5.15% 7.84% 8.03% 2.41% 4.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.073 0.3374 3.318 3.314 9.014 18.93 20.23 16.91
Change - -68.56% 883.23% -0.13% 172.04% 109.96% 6.87% -16.39%
EPS 1 7.39 8.04 8.53 7.53 7.96 18.26 16.73 18.87
Change - 8.8% 6.09% -11.72% 5.71% 129.42% -8.4% 12.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 207,787 207,258 200,854 196,008 193,878 190,827 190,827 190,827
Announcement Date 11/4/21 11/3/22 11/2/23 11/6/24 11/5/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.8x 18.4x
PBR 16.3x 15.2x
EV / Sales 0.2x 0.19x
Yield 0.77% 0.79%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
307.60USD
Average target price
369.25USD
Spread / Average Target
+20.04%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise