Projected Income Statement: Carrefour SA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carrefour SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,195 8,871 8,099 9,323 9,413 8,421 7,896 7,240
Change - 23.29% -8.7% 15.11% 0.97% -10.54% -6.23% -8.31%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carrefour SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,653 1,882 1,850 1,772 1,523 1,810 1,858 1,923
Change - 13.85% -1.7% -4.22% -14.05% 18.81% 2.69% 3.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,008 2,337 1,622 1,457 2,425 1,777 1,164 1,104
Change - 16.38% -30.59% -10.17% 66.44% -26.71% -34.51% -5.15%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carrefour SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.24% 5.67% 5.47% 5.43% 5.49% 5.52% 5.66% 5.8%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 2.92% 2.72% 2.59% 2.63% 2.82% 2.97% 3.06%
EBT Margin (%) 2.24% 2.42% 1.61% 1.28% 1.9% 1.86% 2.13% 2.22%
Net margin (%) 1.47% 1.66% 1.99% 0.85% 0.39% 1.25% 1.42% 1.42%
FCF margin (%) 2.75% 2.87% 1.95% 1.71% 2.95% 2.17% 1.39% 1.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 187.31% 173.37% 97.77% 201.52% 760.19% 173.94% 98.03% 90.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.25% 2.59% 2.94% 1.27% 0.57% 1.72% 1.85% 1.88%
ROE 11.38% 12.13% 11.5% 9.67% 10% 11% 11.5% 11.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.58x 1.92x 1.78x 2.01x 2.09x 1.86x 1.67x 1.46x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.58x 3.8x 4.99x 6.4x 3.88x 4.74x 6.78x 6.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.27% 2.31% 2.22% 2.07% 1.86% 2.21% 2.22% 2.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.33% 40.8% 40.58% 38.21% 33.8% 39.98% 39.27% 38.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 82.32% 80.53% 114.06% 121.62% 62.8% 101.81% 159.64% 174.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.842 5.651 6.513 6.409 5.783 3.251 3.841 4.281
Change - 16.69% 15.25% -1.59% -9.77% -43.78% 18.15% 11.43%
Dividend per Share 1 0.52 0.56 0.87 0.92 0.97 1.041 1.068 1.111
Change - 7.69% 55.36% 5.75% 5.43% 7.36% 2.6% 3.96%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.21 15.02 16.69 16.76 15.54 15.78 16.53 17.4
Change - 13.65% 11.18% 0.36% -7.24% 1.55% 4.72% 5.28%
EPS 1 1.362 1.8 2.324 1.013 0.4671 1.365 1.684 1.757
Change - 32.15% 29.11% -56.43% -53.87% 192.23% 23.34% 4.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 766,438 769,845 699,183 663,135 706,234 707,563 707,563 707,563
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.5x 9.34x
PBR 1x 0.95x
EV / Sales 0.24x 0.23x
Yield 6.62% 6.79%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
15.73EUR
Average target price
16.89EUR
Spread / Average Target
+7.35%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise