Projected Income Statement: Carrefour

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,195 8,871 8,099 9,323 9,413 8,663 8,211 7,785
Change - 23.29% -8.7% 15.11% 0.97% -7.97% -5.22% -5.19%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,653 1,882 1,850 1,772 1,523 1,814 1,903 1,954
Change - 13.85% -1.7% -4.22% -14.05% 19.11% 4.91% 2.69%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,008 2,337 1,622 1,457 2,425 1,527 1,176 1,060
Change - 16.38% -30.59% -10.17% 66.44% -37.03% -23.02% -9.87%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.24% 5.67% 5.47% 5.43% 5.49% 5.7% 5.73% 5.86%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 2.92% 2.72% 2.59% 2.63% 2.9% 3.02% 3.11%
EBT Margin (%) 2.24% 2.42% 1.61% 1.28% 1.9% 1.99% 1.98% 2.06%
Net margin (%) 1.47% 1.66% 1.99% 0.85% 0.39% 1.44% 1.43% 1.34%
FCF margin (%) 2.75% 2.87% 1.95% 1.71% 2.95% 1.86% 1.41% 1.25%
FCF / Net Income (%) 187.31% 173.37% 97.77% 201.52% 760.19% 129.81% 98.78% 92.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.25% 2.59% 2.94% 1.27% 0.57% 2.13% 1.81% 1.88%
ROE 11.38% 12.13% 11.5% 9.67% 10% 11.19% 11.58% 12.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.58x 1.92x 1.78x 2.01x 2.09x 1.86x 1.72x 1.56x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.58x 3.8x 4.99x 6.4x 3.88x 5.67x 6.98x 7.35x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.27% 2.31% 2.22% 2.07% 1.86% 2.21% 2.29% 2.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.33% 40.8% 40.58% 38.21% 33.8% 38.85% 39.87% 39.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 82.32% 80.53% 114.06% 121.62% 62.8% 118.8% 161.9% 184.45%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.842 5.651 6.513 6.409 5.783 3.711 3.847 4.346
Change - 16.69% 15.25% -1.59% -9.77% -35.82% 3.65% 12.96%
Dividend per Share 1 0.52 0.56 0.87 0.92 0.97 1.033 1.059 1.096
Change - 7.69% 55.36% 5.75% 5.43% 6.51% 2.46% 3.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.21 15.02 16.69 16.76 15.54 16.01 16.81 17.05
Change - 13.65% 11.18% 0.36% -7.24% 2.99% 5.02% 1.43%
EPS 1 1.362 1.8 2.324 1.013 0.4671 1.722 1.753 1.71
Change - 32.15% 29.11% -56.43% -53.87% 268.62% 1.81% -2.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 766,438 769,845 699,183 663,135 706,234 706,234 706,234 706,234
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.35x 9.18x
PBR 1.01x 0.96x
EV / Sales 0.24x 0.24x
Yield 6.42% 6.58%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
16.10EUR
Average target price
16.01EUR
Spread / Average Target
-0.58%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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