Projected Income Statement: Card Factory plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Card Factory plc

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 194 163 135 169 191 194 182 172
Change - -15.98% -17.18% 25.19% 13.02% 1.52% -6.19% -5.49%
Announcement Date 5/3/22 5/3/23 4/30/24 5/7/25 4/28/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Card Factory plc

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 6.9 18.2 27.8 18.4 19.4 23.4 21.8 21.67
Change - 163.77% 52.75% -33.81% 5.43% 20.62% -6.84% -0.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 106.8 81.7 77.4 70.5 40.7 35.65 38.62 40.49
Change - -23.5% -5.26% -8.91% -42.27% -12.42% 8.35% 4.83%
Announcement Date 5/3/22 5/3/23 4/30/24 5/7/25 4/28/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Card Factory plc

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.49% 24.17% 24% 23.5% 21.21% 21.15% 21.26% 21.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.67% 13.77% 14.95% 14.62% 12.27% 11.95% 11.99% 11.79%
EBT Margin (%) 3.05% 11.31% 12.84% 11.82% 7.53% 9.06% 9.33% 9.27%
Net margin (%) 2.22% 9.54% 9.69% 8.81% 5.35% 6.72% 6.93% 6.92%
FCF margin (%) 29.31% 17.63% 15.15% 13% 6.98% 5.83% 6.09% 6.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1,318.52% 184.84% 156.36% 147.49% 130.45% 86.77% 87.94% 89.31%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 3.8% 18.12% 16.95% 14.43% 11.74% 11.88% 12.48% 12.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.27x 1.45x 1.1x 1.33x 1.55x 1.5x 1.35x 1.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.82x 1.99x 1.75x 2.4x 4.7x 5.45x 4.71x 4.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.89% 3.93% 5.44% 3.39% 3.33% 3.83% 3.44% 3.31%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.06% 16.25% 22.68% 14.43% 15.7% 18.1% 16.17% 15.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.46% 22.28% 35.92% 26.1% 47.67% 65.65% 56.44% 53.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3309 - - 0.2546 0.3161 0.272 0.2672 0.2408
Change - - - - 24.16% -13.94% -1.79% -9.86%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.045 0.048 0.05 0.0534 0.0574 0.0609
Change - - - 6.67% 4.17% 6.72% 7.55% 6.19%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.6391 0.7798 0.9094 0.9934 1.016 1.105 1.208 1.254
Change - 22.02% 16.62% 9.24% 2.26% 8.77% 9.3% 3.82%
EPS 1 0.024 0.128 0.143 0.137 0.089 0.1251 0.1386 0.1449
Change - 433.33% 11.72% -4.2% -35.04% 40.55% 10.79% 4.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 341,878 342,636 345,576 348,005 345,817 337,968 337,968 337,968
Announcement Date 5/3/22 5/3/23 4/30/24 5/7/25 4/28/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 5.88x 5.3x
PBR 0.67x 0.61x
EV / Sales 0.72x 0.68x
Yield 7.26% 7.81%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
0.7350GBP
Average target price
1.109GBP
Spread / Average Target
+50.83%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. CARD Stock
  4. Financials Card Factory plc
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