Projected Income Statement: Canon Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -180,131 44,407 12,169 17,065 360,178 324,367 273,548 146,314
Change - 124.65% -72.6% 40.23% 2,010.62% -9.94% -15.67% -46.51%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 179,000 183,291 231,725 256,267 249,530 260,714 254,167 252,000
Change - 2.4% 26.42% 10.59% -2.63% 4.48% -2.51% -0.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 273,678 81,783 175,818 350,564 226,373 276,175 302,112 324,424
Change - -70.12% 114.98% 99.39% -35.43% 22% 9.39% 7.39%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.32% 14.38% 14.69% 11.42% 15.02% 14.24% 14.86% 15.26%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.02% 8.77% 8.98% 6.2% 9.85% 9.32% 10.08% 10.45%
EBT Margin (%) 8.62% 8.74% 9.35% 6.68% 10.42% 9.69% 10.42% 10.78%
Net margin (%) 6.11% 6.05% 6.33% 3.55% 7.18% 6.56% 7.05% 7.27%
FCF margin (%) 7.79% 2.03% 4.21% 7.77% 4.89% 5.79% 6.16% 6.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.46% 33.52% 66.47% 219.07% 68.17% 88.16% 87.33% 89.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.46% 7.16% 7.43% 2.86% 8.1% 5.92% 7.05% 7.21%
ROE 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 4.75% 9.7% 9.26% 9.88% 10.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.08x 0.02x 0.03x 0.52x 0.48x 0.38x 0.19x
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.54x 0.07x 0.05x 1.59x 1.17x 0.91x 0.45x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.09% 4.55% 5.54% 5.68% 5.4% 5.46% 5.18% 5.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.57% 31.61% 37.74% 49.74% 35.92% 38.38% 34.88% 33.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 65.41% 224.12% 131.8% 73.1% 110.23% 94.4% 84.13% 77.68%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 416.9 456.5 502.6 627.4 632.2 639 714.7 770.6
Change - 9.48% 10.11% 24.83% 0.77% 1.07% 11.84% 7.82%
Dividend per Share 1 100 120 140 155 160 162.6 171.8 179.1
Change - 20% 16.67% 10.71% 3.23% 1.62% 5.65% 4.25%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,748 3,066 3,395 3,495 3,975 4,134 4,326 4,582
Change - 11.56% 10.73% 2.94% 13.74% 4.01% 4.63% 5.92%
EPS 1 205.4 236.7 264.2 165.5 367.5 361 406.8 433.7
Change - 15.27% 11.61% -37.35% 122% -1.75% 12.66% 6.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,045,773 1,015,514 987,800 943,995 878,626 849,306 849,306 849,306
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12x 10.7x
PBR 1.05x 1x
EV / Sales 0.84x 0.81x
Yield 3.75% 3.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
4,338.00JPY
Average target price
4,759.09JPY
Spread / Average Target
+9.71%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise