Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 16,797 11,109 9,975
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% -24.28% -33.86% -10.21%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,791 13,851 13,941
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -5.11% 0.44% 0.65%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 18,131 13,917 11,894
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 82.04% -23.24% -14.54%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 21.59% 20.04% 18.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 13.83% 11.34% 10.26%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 12.21% 9.87% 8.69%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 6.37% 5.48% 5.29%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 8.28% 7.01% 5.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 129.9% 127.88% 112.68%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 4.98% 3.86% 3.32%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 24.83% 15.24% 14.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.36x 0.28x 0.26x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 0.93x 0.8x 0.84x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.3% 6.98% 6.99%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 29.15% 34.83% 36.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 76.06% 99.53% 117.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 2.293 1.821 1.74
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 48.98% -20.59% -4.44%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3409 0.356 0.3708
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.44% 4.41% 4.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 3.924 4.116 4.271
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 13.74% 4.88% 3.79%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 0.9798 0.7058 0.689
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 28,717.35% -27.96% -2.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,297,154 15,452,017 15,452,017 15,452,017
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.12x 9.89x
PBR 1.78x 1.7x
EV / Sales 0.57x 0.6x
Yield 4.88% 5.1%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
6.980USD
Average target price
8.057USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.44%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise