Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 17,039 11,558 8,678
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% -23.19% -32.17% -24.92%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,454 13,831 14,042
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -7.43% 2.81% 1.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 16,855 13,516 12,081
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 69.22% -19.81% -10.61%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 21.95% 20.43% 19.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 13.62% 11.48% 10.54%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 12.22% 9.97% 8.81%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 6.99% 5.55% 5.19%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 8.04% 6.99% 6.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 115.02% 125.86% 119.66%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 4.69% 3.82% 3.31%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 22.37% 14.47% 13.57%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.37x 0.29x 0.23x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 1.01x 0.86x 0.72x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.42% 7.15% 7.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 29.26% 35.01% 37.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 79.82% 102.34% 116.23%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 2.195 1.85 1.763
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 42.59% -15.69% -4.73%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3423 0.3582 0.3719
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.86% 4.63% 3.82%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 3.923 4.083 4.431
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 13.71% 4.09% 8.51%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 0.9029 0.7001 0.6759
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 26,456.47% -22.46% -3.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,297,154 15,450,744 15,450,744 15,450,744
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.99x 10.3x
PBR 1.84x 1.77x
EV / Sales 0.61x 0.64x
Yield 4.74% 4.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
7.215USD
Average target price
7.986USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.69%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise