Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 13,898 7,236 9,007
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% -37.35% -47.93% 24.47%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,777 13,872 13,941
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -5.2% 0.69% 0.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 21,209 14,944 11,869
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 112.94% -29.54% -20.57%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 22.27% 20.5% 18.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 15.03% 12.24% 10.36%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 13.51% 10.63% 8.84%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 7.22% 6.05% 5.25%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 9.36% 7.24% 5.93%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 129.68% 119.61% 113.08%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 6.21% 4.75% 3.75%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 26.82% 17.82% 14.84%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.28x 0.17x 0.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 0.66x 0.48x 0.76x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.08% 6.72% 6.97%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 27.32% 32.77% 36.74%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 64.96% 92.83% 117.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 2.397 1.923 1.787
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 55.74% -19.78% -7.08%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3408 0.3556 0.3711
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.39% 4.35% 4.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 4.153 4.445 4.627
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 20.39% 7.01% 4.11%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 1.092 0.7961 0.6923
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 32,022.65% -27.11% -13.03%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,297,154 15,453,512 15,453,512 15,453,512
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.76x 9.27x
PBR 1.78x 1.66x
EV / Sales 0.56x 0.59x
Yield 4.62% 4.82%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
7.380USD
Average target price
8.442USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.40%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise