Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 17,500 10,894 9,103
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% -21.11% -37.75% -16.44%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,470 13,797 14,020
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -7.31% 2.43% 1.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 16,673 14,140 12,257
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 67.4% -15.2% -13.32%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 21.68% 20.38% 19.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 13.42% 11.5% 10.57%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 12.24% 9.51% 8.72%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 6.65% 5.55% 5.15%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 7.98% 7.3% 6.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 119.91% 131.49% 122.05%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 4.41% 3.83% 3.32%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 21.76% 14.58% 13.53%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.39x 0.28x 0.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 1.05x 0.77x 0.74x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.44% 7.12% 7.19%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 29.72% 34.96% 36.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 80.79% 97.58% 114.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 2.176 1.86 1.765
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 41.38% -14.51% -5.14%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3425 0.3587 0.372
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.9% 4.73% 3.72%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 3.923 4.098 4.443
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 13.71% 4.45% 8.43%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 0.9018 0.7026 0.6749
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 26,423.53% -22.09% -3.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,297,154 15,450,744 15,450,744 15,450,744
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.63x 9.79x
PBR 1.75x 1.68x
EV / Sales 0.59x 0.6x
Yield 4.98% 5.21%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
6.878USD
Average target price
8.003USD
Spread / Average Target
+16.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise