Projected Income Statement: BASF SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: BASF SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,352 16,268 16,590 18,781 18,329 15,490 15,045 14,544
Change - 13.35% 1.98% 13.21% -2.41% -15.49% -2.87% -3.33%
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/24/23 2/23/24 2/28/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BASF SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,532 4,375 5,395 6,198 4,267 3,412 3,411 3,373
Change - 23.87% 23.31% 14.88% -31.16% -20.04% -0.03% -1.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,713 3,333 2,700 748 1,343 1,872 2,880 3,207
Change - -10.23% -18.99% -72.3% 79.55% 39.41% 53.8% 11.36%
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/24/23 2/23/24 2/28/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BASF SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.44% 12.32% 11.13% 12.04% 10.99% 11.62% 11.98% 12.54%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.88% 7.88% 5.52% 5.99% 4.84% 5.42% 5.69% 6.32%
EBT Margin (%) 9.48% 1.36% 2.06% 3.17% 4.1% 4.59% 5.38% 6.03%
Net margin (%) 7.03% -0.72% 0.33% 1.99% 2.71% 3.8% 3.72% 4.16%
FCF margin (%) 4.72% 3.82% 3.92% 1.15% 2.25% 2.97% 4.5% 4.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.23% -531.58% 1,200% 57.63% 82.95% 78.15% 121.05% 117.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.59% -0.73% 3.07% 3.97% 2.55% 3.84% 3.21% 3.42%
ROE 14.82% 15.62% 6.64% 8.84% 5.81% 6.65% 7.67% 8.48%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.26x 1.51x 2.16x 2.39x 2.8x 2.11x 1.96x 1.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.87x 4.88x 6.14x 25.11x 13.65x 8.27x 5.22x 4.54x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.49% 5.01% 7.83% 9.5% 7.15% 5.4% 5.33% 5.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.12% 40.65% 70.33% 78.88% 65.11% 46.5% 44.48% 40.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 95.13% 131.26% 199.81% 828.61% 317.72% 182.23% 118.45% 105.18%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.888 8.624 9.062 7.782 6.291 6.465 6.861 7.087
Change - 9.33% 5.08% -14.12% -19.16% 2.77% 6.13% 3.29%
Dividend per Share 1 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.25 2.25 2.284 2.368 2.43
Change - 0% 0% -33.82% 0% 1.53% 3.67% 2.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 44.41 44.27 39.53 39.89 37.22 38.08 38.9 39.2
Change - -0.32% -10.72% 0.91% -6.67% 2.31% 2.16% 0.77%
EPS 1 6.01 -0.7 0.25 1.45 1.81 2.866 2.781 3.282
Change - -111.65% 135.71% 480% 24.83% 58.36% -2.98% 18.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 918,479 894,516 892,522 892,522 884,495 861,858 861,858 861,858
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/24/23 2/23/24 2/28/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.1x 17.6x
PBR 1.29x 1.26x
EV / Sales 0.91x 0.9x
Yield 4.66% 4.83%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
49.00EUR
Average target price
52.98EUR
Spread / Average Target
+8.10%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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