Projected Income Statement: BAE Systems plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: BAE Systems plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,160 2,023 2,464 6,875 5,613 4,783 4,168 3,260
Change - -6.34% 21.8% 179.02% -18.36% -14.79% -12.86% -21.79%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BAE Systems plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 366 599 789 990 920 1,320 1,382 1,502
Change - 63.66% 31.72% 25.48% -7.07% 43.49% 4.66% 8.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,864 2,146 2,593 2,505 2,158 2,356 2,617 2,966
Change - 15.13% 20.83% -3.39% -13.85% 9.16% 11.09% 13.33%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BAE Systems plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.73% 13.96% 13.72% 14.51% 14.66% 14.3% 14.34% 14.4%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.35% 10.66% 10.61% 10.64% 10.83% 11.08% 11.3% 11.48%
EBT Margin (%) 9.9% 8.55% 9.2% 8.23% 8.39% 9.25% 9.66% 9.95%
Net margin (%) 8.25% 6.84% 7.34% 6.9% 6.72% 6.81% 7.15% 7.39%
FCF margin (%) 8.75% 9.23% 10.26% 8.84% 7.04% 7.09% 7.22% 7.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) 106.03% 134.88% 139.63% 128.07% 104.66% 104.17% 101.09% 102.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.43% 5.9% 6.03% 5.88% 5.94% 6.38% 6.94% 7.28%
ROE 29.11% 18.53% 17.6% 18.62% 19.26% 20.26% 21.34% 22.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.74x 0.62x 0.71x 1.67x 1.25x 1.01x 0.8x 0.58x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.16x 0.94x 0.95x 2.74x 2.6x 2.03x 1.59x 1.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.72% 2.58% 3.12% 3.49% 3% 3.97% 3.81% 3.83%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.51% 18.45% 22.74% 24.08% 20.47% 27.8% 26.6% 26.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.64% 27.91% 30.43% 39.52% 42.63% 56.04% 52.8% 50.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7621 0.9004 1.224 1.286 1.132 1.203 1.294 1.45
Change - 18.15% 35.94% 5.04% -11.92% 6.28% 7.49% 12.08%
Dividend per Share 1 0.251 0.27 0.3 0.33 0.363 0.3974 0.4472 0.5023
Change - 7.57% 11.11% 10% 10% 9.48% 12.52% 12.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.333 3.644 3.456 3.855 3.932 4.186 4.514 4.906
Change - 56.18% -5.15% 11.54% 1.99% 6.47% 7.82% 8.7%
EPS 1 0.547 0.505 0.604 0.641 0.68 0.7666 0.892 1.008
Change - -7.68% 19.6% 6.13% 6.08% 12.74% 16.35% 13.04%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,161,416 3,070,678 3,025,615 2,983,629 2,977,003 2,828,530 2,828,530 2,828,530
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25.1x 21.5x
PBR 4.59x 4.26x
EV / Sales 1.78x 1.62x
Yield 2.07% 2.33%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
19.21GBP
Average target price
23.23GBP
Spread / Average Target
+20.91%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. BA. Stock
  4. Financials BAE Systems plc