Projected Income Statement: BAE Systems plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: BAE Systems plc

Forecast Balance Sheet - BAE Systems plc
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,160 2,023 2,464 6,875 5,613 4,783 4,168 3,260
Change - -6.34% 21.8% 179.02% -18.36% -14.79% -12.86% -21.79%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BAE Systems plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 366 599 789 990 920 1,320 1,382 1,502
Change - 63.66% 31.72% 25.48% -7.07% 43.49% 4.65% 8.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,864 2,146 2,593 2,505 2,158 2,356 2,617 2,966
Change - 15.13% 20.83% -3.39% -13.85% 9.16% 11.09% 13.33%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BAE Systems plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.73% 13.96% 13.72% 14.51% 14.66% 14.31% 14.35% 14.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.35% 10.66% 10.61% 10.64% 10.83% 11.08% 11.3% 11.48%
EBT Margin (%) 9.9% 8.55% 9.2% 8.23% 8.39% 9.25% 9.67% 9.95%
Net margin (%) 8.25% 6.84% 7.34% 6.9% 6.72% 6.81% 7.15% 7.39%
FCF margin (%) 8.75% 9.23% 10.26% 8.84% 7.04% 7.09% 7.23% 7.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) 106.03% 134.88% 139.63% 128.07% 104.66% 104.18% 101.11% 102.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.43% 5.9% 6.03% 5.88% 5.94% 6.38% 6.94% 7.28%
ROE 29.11% 18.53% 17.6% 18.62% 19.26% 20.3% 21.46% 22.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.74x 0.62x 0.71x 1.67x 1.25x 1.01x 0.8x 0.58x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.16x 0.94x 0.95x 2.74x 2.6x 2.03x 1.59x 1.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.72% 2.58% 3.12% 3.49% 3% 3.97% 3.81% 3.83%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.51% 18.45% 22.74% 24.08% 20.47% 27.77% 26.57% 26.6%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.64% 27.91% 30.43% 39.52% 42.63% 56.04% 52.8% 50.64%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7621 0.9004 1.224 1.286 1.132 1.18 1.305 1.469
Change - 18.15% 35.94% 5.04% -11.92% 4.23% 10.54% 12.62%
Dividend per Share 1 0.251 0.27 0.3 0.33 0.363 0.3974 0.4472 0.5021
Change - 7.57% 11.11% 10% 10% 9.48% 12.51% 12.3%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.333 3.644 3.456 3.855 3.932 4.188 4.518 4.908
Change - 56.18% -5.15% 11.54% 1.99% 6.52% 7.87% 8.64%
EPS 1 0.547 0.505 0.604 0.641 0.68 0.7666 0.8918 1.008
Change - -7.68% 19.6% 6.13% 6.08% 12.74% 16.33% 13.01%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,161,416 3,070,678 3,025,615 2,983,629 2,977,003 2,828,530 2,828,530 2,828,530
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24x 20.6x
PBR 4.38x 4.07x
EV / Sales 1.71x 1.55x
Yield 2.16% 2.43%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - BAE Systems plc


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - BAE Systems plc
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - BAE Systems plc
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Ratings Surperformance© - BAE Systems plc
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
18.36GBP
Average target price
23.23GBP
Spread / Average Target
+26.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - BAE Systems plc
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