Projected Income Statement: Ayala Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ayala Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 414,715 475,439 504,805 623,976 637,182 630,593 656,755 663,660
Change - 14.64% 6.18% 23.61% 2.12% -1.03% 4.15% 1.05%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 3/10/23 3/13/24 3/13/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ayala Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 38,449 52,686 57,072 66,384 37,162 51,858 42,728 41,601
Change - 37.03% 8.33% 16.32% -44.02% 39.55% -17.61% -2.64%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -32,298 -33,967 -42,596 -59,015 -17,502 42,962 41,448 51,138
Change - -5.17% -25.4% -38.55% 70.34% 345.46% -3.52% 23.38%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 3/10/23 3/13/24 3/13/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ayala Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.07% 13% 14.46% 16.32% 18.78% 24.23% 21.7% 21.26%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.6% 7.06% 9.46% 11.04% 13.45% 16.78% 15.96% 15.73%
EBT Margin (%) 18.96% 19.74% 22.34% 22.06% 29.27% 21.96% 23.14% 24.47%
Net margin (%) 12.31% 10.39% 13.13% 12.9% 18.23% 16.75% 15.55% 17.07%
FCF margin (%) -14.32% -12.87% -14.69% -18.12% -5.2% 13.67% 10.63% 12%
FCF / Net Income (%) -116.29% -123.98% -111.88% -140.42% -28.49% 81.61% 68.38% 70.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.02% 3.1% 3.4% 2.5% 4.6% 2.63% 2.89% 3.11%
ROE 7.91% 7.7% 10.2% 10.11% 13.6% 8.29% 10.53% 11%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.44x 13.86x 12.05x 11.74x 10.07x 8.28x 7.77x 7.32x
Debt / Free cash flow -12.84x -14x -11.85x -10.57x -36.41x 14.68x 15.85x 12.98x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.04% 19.97% 19.69% 20.38% 11.03% 16.5% 10.96% 9.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 106.07% 153.62% 136.19% 124.88% 58.75% 68.08% 50.53% 45.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -119.04% -155.11% -133.99% -112.49% -212.33% 120.71% 103.09% 81.35%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 9.862 30.19 23.37 11.86 31.57 30.8 44.1 50.5
Change - 206.07% -22.59% -49.23% 166.12% -2.44% 43.18% 14.51%
Dividend per Share 1 6.92 6.92 7.62 8.38 9.21 9.21 10.48 11.27
Change - 0% 10.12% 9.97% 9.9% 0% 13.84% 7.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 585.3 552.6 598.2 652.2 652 886.2 972.5 1,076
Change - -5.59% 8.24% 9.04% -0.03% 35.93% 9.73% 10.61%
EPS 1 42.42 42.02 58.64 64.69 94.72 80.07 94.1 110.2
Change - -0.94% 39.55% 10.32% 46.42% -15.47% 17.52% 17.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 619,704 619,143 619,807 623,597 620,037 620,418 620,418 620,418
Announcement Date 3/11/22 3/10/23 3/13/24 3/13/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.27x 5.33x
PBR 0.57x 0.52x
EV / Sales 3x 2.48x
Yield 1.83% 2.09%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
502.00PHP
Average target price
652.62PHP
Spread / Average Target
+30.00%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. AC Stock
  4. Financials Ayala Corporation