Projected Income Statement: Ayala Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ayala Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - Ayala Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 414,715 475,439 504,805 623,976 637,182 646,153 658,663 660,126
Change - 14.64% 6.18% 23.61% 2.12% 1.41% 1.94% 0.22%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 3/10/23 3/13/24 3/13/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ayala Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 38,449 52,686 57,072 66,384 37,162 48,284 35,796 34,950
Change - 37.03% 8.33% 16.32% -44.02% 29.93% -25.86% -2.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -32,298 -33,967 -42,596 -59,015 -17,502 134,875 73,734 90,228
Change - -5.17% -25.4% -38.55% 70.34% 870.61% -45.33% 22.37%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 3/10/23 3/13/24 3/13/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ayala Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.07% 13% 14.46% 16.32% 18.78% 21.63% 21.31% 20.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.6% 7.06% 9.46% 11.04% 13.45% 21.04% 20.01% 20.14%
EBT Margin (%) 18.96% 19.74% 22.34% 22.06% 29.27% 21.56% 22.22% 22.92%
Net margin (%) 12.31% 10.39% 13.13% 12.9% 18.23% 14.54% 14.93% 15.96%
FCF margin (%) -14.32% -12.87% -14.69% -18.12% -5.2% 36.54% 18.58% 20.86%
FCF / Net Income (%) -116.29% -123.98% -111.88% -140.42% -28.49% 251.38% 124.45% 130.74%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.02% 3.1% 3.4% 2.5% 4.6% 2.56% 2.75% 2.89%
ROE 7.91% 7.7% 10.2% 10.11% 13.6% 9.94% 10.32% 10.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.44x 13.86x 12.05x 11.74x 10.07x 8.09x 7.79x 7.28x
Debt / Free cash flow -12.84x -14x -11.85x -10.57x -36.41x 4.79x 8.93x 7.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.04% 19.97% 19.69% 20.38% 11.03% 13.08% 9.02% 8.08%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 106.07% 153.62% 136.19% 124.88% 58.75% 60.47% 42.33% 38.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -119.04% -155.11% -133.99% -112.49% -212.33% 35.8% 48.55% 38.74%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 9.862 30.19 23.37 11.86 31.57 30.8 44.1 50.5
Change - 206.07% -22.59% -49.23% 166.12% -2.44% 43.18% 14.51%
Dividend per Share 1 6.92 6.92 7.62 8.38 9.21 9.754 11.91 13.72
Change - 0% 10.12% 9.97% 9.9% 5.91% 22.06% 15.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 585.3 552.6 598.2 652.2 652 887.5 956.4 1,056
Change - -5.59% 8.24% 9.04% -0.03% 36.12% 7.76% 10.45%
EPS 1 42.42 42.02 58.64 64.69 94.72 78.53 90.61 102.9
Change - -0.94% 39.55% 10.32% 46.42% -17.1% 15.39% 13.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 619,704 619,143 619,807 623,597 620,037 620,418 620,418 620,418
Announcement Date 3/11/22 3/10/23 3/13/24 3/13/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.86x 5.95x
PBR 0.61x 0.56x
EV / Sales 2.66x 2.5x
Yield 1.81% 2.21%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Ayala Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Ayala Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Ayala Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Ayala Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
539.00PHP
Average target price
665.50PHP
Spread / Average Target
+23.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Ayala Corporation
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