Projected Income Statement: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 488 455 520 642 679 681 618 534
Change - -6.76% 14.29% 23.46% 5.76% 0.24% -9.25% -13.59%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/15/23 3/13/24 3/12/25 3/19/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 115 217.1 360.1 327.6 281.4 284.3 291.3 349.5
Change - 88.8% 65.86% -9.01% -14.13% 1.06% 2.46% 19.97%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 143 128.3 21.87 -60.79 14.99 145.5 203 198
Change - -10.29% -82.96% -377.98% 124.67% 870.39% 39.52% -2.46%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/15/23 3/13/24 3/12/25 3/19/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.22% 10.68% 10.9% 11.19% 12.3% 10.31% 10.54% 10.92%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.69% 7.31% 7.25% 7.26% 7.98% 6.04% 6.24% 6.62%
EBT Margin (%) 2.92% 6.26% 6.42% 5.8% 7.3% 5.17% 5.02% 5.33%
Net margin (%) 1.71% 3.88% 4.18% 3.33% 4.53% 3.13% 3.13% 3.34%
FCF margin (%) 5.38% 3.55% 0.5% -1.36% 0.32% 2.76% 3.6% 3.26%
FCF / Net Income (%) 314.48% 91.43% 12.06% -40.86% 7.07% 88.05% 114.82% 97.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.95% 5.62% 6.41% 5.03% 6.26% 4.1% 4.4% -
ROE 21.76% 51.59% 43.22% 29.07% 33.18% 20.02% 19.24% 19.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.8x 1.18x 1.1x 1.28x 1.18x 1.25x 1.04x 0.8x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.41x 3.55x 23.8x -10.55x 45.31x 4.68x 3.04x 2.7x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.32% 6% 8.31% 7.33% 6.01% 5.39% 5.16% 5.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.32% 56.17% 76.24% 65.51% 48.91% 52.31% 49% 52.63%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 80.39% 169.2% 1,646.68% -538.97% 1,876.42% 195.42% 143.51% 176.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.226 - - 1.267 1.407 1.683 2.162 -
Change - - - - 11.05% 19.62% 28.47% -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.15 0.19 0.24 0.24 0.284 0.322 0.397
Change - - 26.67% 26.32% 0% 18.33% 13.38% 23.31%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.051 1.537 2.446 2.412 3.658 4.212 4.75 5.453
Change - 46.19% 59.18% -1.4% 51.65% 15.17% 12.76% 14.81%
EPS 1 0.22 0.67 0.86 0.71 1.01 0.79 0.8325 0.9606
Change - 204.55% 28.36% -17.44% 42.25% -21.78% 5.38% 15.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 210,478 210,595 210,655 210,663 210,663 210,663 210,663 210,663
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/15/23 3/13/24 3/12/25 3/19/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.52x 8.08x
PBR 1.6x 1.42x
EV / Sales 0.4x 0.36x
Yield 4.22% 4.78%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
MarketScreener Ratings - Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
6.730USD
Average target price
10.84USD
Spread / Average Target
+61.05%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
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