Projected Income Statement: Amcor plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,439 5,715 6,057 6,111 13,271 13,377 12,690 11,827
Change - 5.07% 5.98% 0.89% 117.17% 0.8% -5.14% -6.8%
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 468 527 526 492 580 869.7 889.7 915.1
Change - 12.61% -0.19% -6.46% 17.89% 49.95% 2.3% 2.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 993 999 735 829 810 1,549 1,868 2,069
Change - 0.6% -26.43% 12.79% -2.29% 91.18% 20.61% 10.8%
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.77% 14.56% 13.73% 14.38% 14.56% 15.82% 16.35% 16.93%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.6% 11.7% 10.94% 11.44% 11.48% 12.08% 12.62% 13.18%
EBT Margin (%) 9.28% 7.67% 8.51% 6.65% 4.33% 5.67% 7.76% 8.83%
Net margin (%) 7.3% 5.53% 7.13% 5.35% 3.4% 4.93% 6.25% 6.89%
FCF margin (%) 7.72% 6.87% 5% 6.08% 5.4% 6.7% 7.84% 8.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.75% 124.1% 70.13% 113.56% 158.51% 136.01% 125.45% 125.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.58% 7.07% 6.33% 6.05% 4.24% 5.65% 6.31% 6.76%
ROE 24.36% 27.67% 26.49% 25.24% 14.48% 15.77% 16.59% 17.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.68x 2.7x 3x 3.11x 6.07x 3.66x 3.26x 2.91x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.48x 5.72x 8.24x 7.37x 16.38x 8.64x 6.79x 5.72x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.64% 3.62% 3.58% 3.61% 3.86% 3.76% 3.74% 3.81%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.08% 24.89% 26.07% 25.08% 26.53% 23.77% 22.85% 22.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.13% 52.75% 71.56% 59.35% 71.6% 56.16% 47.64% 44.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.695 5.033 4.33 4.6 4.363 4.514 6.542 8.047
Change - 7.2% -13.96% 6.22% -5.15% 3.47% 44.91% 23.02%
Dividend per Share 1 2.35 2.4 2.45 2.5 2.55 2.526 2.543 2.571
Change - 2.13% 2.08% 2.04% 2% -0.95% 0.7% 1.09%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.49 13.73 13.81 15.73 25.44 25.82 26.88 28.82
Change - -11.4% 0.63% 13.88% 61.74% 1.48% 4.12% 7.2%
EPS 1 3.01 2.645 3.525 2.525 1.6 2.446 3.241 3.72
Change - -12.13% 33.27% -28.37% -36.63% 52.9% 32.46% 14.78%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 306,405 296,735 287,064 288,869 456,770 462,146 462,146 462,146
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.3x 13.1x
PBR 1.64x 1.58x
EV / Sales 1.43x 1.36x
Yield 5.95% 5.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
42.43USD
Average target price
48.21USD
Spread / Average Target
+13.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise