Projected Income Statement: Vallourec

Forecast Balance Sheet: Vallourec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 958 1,130 570 -21 -39 -134 -172 -284
Change - 17.95% -49.56% -103.68% -85.71% -243.59% -28.36% -65.12%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 3/2/23 3/1/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Vallourec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 138 191 213 167 176 193.3 193.6 191.6
Change - 38.41% 11.52% -21.6% 5.39% 9.83% 0.17% -1.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -284 - 498 321 384 295.1 492.6 582.4
Change - - - -35.54% 19.63% -23.14% 66.92% 18.23%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 3/2/23 3/1/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Vallourec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.29% 14.64% 23.39% 20.62% 21.5% 21.27% 23.12% 23.56%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.87% 9.99% 19.42% 15% 16.36% 16.06% 18.32% 18.94%
EBT Margin (%) 4.01% -4.77% 15.51% 15.25% 14.26% 14.24% 16.81% 17.51%
Net margin (%) 1.16% -7.5% 9.7% 11.2% 9.32% 10.58% 12.82% 13.47%
FCF margin (%) -8.25% - 9.74% 7.96% 10.08% 7.58% 11.42% 12.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) -710% - 100.4% 71.02% 108.17% 71.63% 89.14% 95.86%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - 8.04% 6.82% 7.7% 8.7% 10.8%
ROE -5.58% -21.49% 26.11% 20.15% 14.74% 16.54% 20.34% 22.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.95x 1.58x 0.48x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -3.37x - 1.14x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.01% 3.91% 4.17% 4.14% 4.62% 4.96% 4.49% 4.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.05% 26.71% 17.81% 20.07% 21.49% 23.34% 19.43% 18.04%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -48.59% - 42.77% 52.02% 45.83% 65.5% 39.31% 32.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.095 -0.1093 2.962 2 2.24 2.155 2.73 2.965
Change - 90.02% 2,810.43% -32.49% 12% -3.81% 26.71% 8.6%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 1.5 1.75 1.438 1.616 1.769
Change - - - - 16.67% -17.84% 12.37% 9.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.67 7.183 9.419 10.87 9.855 10.13 10.87 11.43
Change - -51.04% 31.14% 15.45% -9.38% 2.84% 7.23% 5.19%
EPS 1 0.3 -1.6 2.07 1.85 1.42 1.621 2.139 2.342
Change - -633.33% 229.37% -10.63% -23.24% 14.15% 31.94% 9.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 228,927 228,741 229,728 230,677 234,359 229,554 229,554 229,554
Announcement Date 2/24/22 3/2/23 3/1/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.7x 9.59x
PBR 2.02x 1.89x
EV / Sales 1.17x 1.05x
Yield 7.01% 7.88%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
20.51EUR
Average target price
27.28EUR
Spread / Average Target
+33.02%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise