Projected Income Statement: TUI AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,966 3,522 2,106 1,641 1,305 1,577 1,242 843
Change - -29.08% -40.2% -22.08% -20.48% 20.84% -21.24% -32.13%
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 12/10/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 299.7 308.2 666.2 712.5 738.9 880.7 916.8 921.1
Change - 2.84% 116.16% 6.95% 3.71% 19.19% 4.1% 0.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -451 1,562 971.1 1,198 458 -125.7 617.7 733.3
Change - 446.36% -37.83% 23.4% -61.78% -127.44% 591.51% 18.73%
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 12/10/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -24.2% 7.4% 8.59% 9.15% 9.4% 9.06% 9.89% 10.37%
EBIT Margin (%) -43.86% 2.47% 4.73% 5.59% 5.84% 5.33% 6.04% 6.5%
EBT Margin (%) -52.03% -0.88% 2.67% 3.72% 4.28% 3.93% 4.61% 5.03%
Net margin (%) -52.13% -1.68% 1.48% 2.19% 2.63% 2.2% 2.85% 3.32%
FCF margin (%) -9.53% 9.44% 4.7% 5.17% 1.89% -0.54% 2.54% 2.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 18.28% -563.32% 317.35% 236.3% 72.02% -24.28% 89.26% 88.46%

Profitability

        
ROA -16.73% -1.89% 1.95% 3.02% 3.58% 2.86% 3.77% 4.55%
ROE - - 62.37% 48.78% 46.78% 29.54% 33.54% 33.01%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -4.34x 2.88x 1.19x 0.77x 0.57x 0.74x 0.52x 0.33x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.01x 2.25x 2.17x 1.37x 2.85x -12.55x 2.01x 1.15x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.33% 1.86% 3.22% 3.08% 3.06% 3.75% 3.77% 3.69%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -26.17% 25.17% 37.53% 33.61% 32.52% 41.38% 38.15% 35.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -66.45% 19.73% 68.6% 59.46% 161.33% -700.79% 148.42% 125.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.585 12.71 4.029 3.698 3.688 1.911 2.857 3.117
Change - 901.87% -68.3% -8.22% -0.28% -48.17% 49.51% 9.08%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 0.1 0.1432 0.2015 0.2605
Change - - - - - 43.23% 40.66% 29.3%
Book Value Per Share 1 -9.876 -0.8662 2.213 1.885 3.473 3.934 5.017 6.173
Change - 91.23% 355.47% -14.82% 84.27% 13.26% 27.53% 23.04%
EPS 1 -25.8 -1.7 0.75 0.99 1.17 0.9856 1.308 1.566
Change - 93.41% 144.12% 32% 18.18% -15.76% 32.68% 19.76%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 109,908 178,481 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 12/10/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.01x 5.28x
PBR 1.76x 1.38x
EV / Sales 0.22x 0.2x
Yield 2.07% 2.92%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
6.910EUR
Average target price
9.927EUR
Spread / Average Target
+43.66%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise