Projected Income Statement: Sims Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sims Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 449 496 691 607 649 365 261 132
Change - 10.47% 39.31% -12.16% 6.92% -43.78% -28.49% -49.43%
Announcement Date 8/15/22 8/14/23 8/19/24 8/18/25 8/17/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sims Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 274.7 232.5 214.6 194.1 203.4 193.7 199.4 192.9
Change - -15.36% -7.7% -9.55% 4.79% -4.75% 2.92% -3.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 273.1 216.7 -12.1 103 220.2 466.1 450.5 347
Change - -20.65% -105.58% 951.24% 113.79% 111.68% -3.34% -22.98%
Announcement Date 8/15/22 8/14/23 8/19/24 8/18/25 8/17/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sims Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.35% 5.89% 3.56% 5.74% 9.09% 9.67% 9.27% 8.64%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.16% 3.13% 0.5% 2.33% 5.84% 6.56% 6.18% 5.57%
EBT Margin (%) 8.18% 3.29% 0.91% 0.47% 4.53% 6.07% 5.96% 5.88%
Net margin (%) 6.47% 2.25% -0.68% -0.25% 3.06% 4.22% 4.2% 4.24%
FCF margin (%) 2.95% 2.69% -0.14% 1.37% 2.75% 5.42% 5.05% 3.86%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.57% 119.66% 20.93% -542.11% 89.77% 128.42% 120.4% 90.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.24% 3.96% -2.57% -1.63% 5.34% 9.39% 8.83% 8.73%
ROE 25.74% 6.97% -4.74% -2.95% 9.36% 13.18% 11.98% 11.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.47x 1.04x 2.27x 1.41x 0.89x 0.44x 0.32x 0.17x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.64x 2.29x -57.13x 5.89x 2.95x 0.78x 0.58x 0.38x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.97% 2.88% 2.51% 2.59% 2.54% 2.25% 2.24% 2.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.65% 48.96% 70.41% 45.14% 27.95% 23.31% 24.13% 24.84%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.59% 107.29% -1,773.55% 188.45% 92.37% 41.56% 44.26% 55.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.702 2.273 1.032 1.521 2.164 3.16 3.19 3.195
Change - -15.86% -54.6% 47.38% 42.25% 46.04% 0.95% 0.16%
Dividend per Share 1 0.91 0.35 0.1 0.23 0.34 0.6559 0.661 0.46
Change - -61.54% -71.43% 130% 47.83% 92.91% 0.79% -30.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.18 13.85 13.28 13.44 13.57 15.26 16.51 17.33
Change - 5.08% -4.12% 1.22% 0.91% 12.52% 8.2% 4.93%
EPS 1 2.956 0.917 -0.299 -0.099 1.253 1.941 1.987 1.966
Change - -68.98% -132.61% 66.89% 1,365.66% 54.93% 2.35% -1.03%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 190,315 192,816 192,936 192,988 193,233 192,165 192,165 192,165
Announcement Date 8/15/22 8/14/23 8/19/24 8/18/25 8/17/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 12.5x 12.2x
PBR 1.58x 1.46x
EV / Sales 0.58x 0.55x
Yield 2.71% 2.73%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
24.19AUD
Average target price
27.09AUD
Spread / Average Target
+11.99%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise