Projected Income Statement: SGS SA

Forecast Balance Sheet: SGS SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,691 2,823 2,839 2,670 2,566 3,003 2,524 2,381
Change - 66.94% 0.57% -5.95% -3.9% 17.03% -15.95% -5.67%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 2/11/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SGS SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 336 329 283 239 256 306.8 341.4 359.7
Change - -2.08% -13.98% -15.55% 7.11% 19.86% 11.24% 5.38%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 635 507 635 748 841 845.1 961.6 1,038
Change - -20.16% 25.25% 17.8% 12.43% 0.49% 13.79% 7.96%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 2/11/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SGS SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.65% 22.42% 21.5% 21.75% 22.16% 22.24% 22.43% 22.55%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.47% 15.4% 14.66% 15.31% 15.95% 16.1% 16.44% 16.73%
EBT Margin (%) 14.43% 12.78% 12.11% 12.47% 13.85% 13.79% 14.52% 14.82%
Net margin (%) 9.57% 8.85% 8.35% 8.55% 9.62% 9.61% 10.29% 10.58%
FCF margin (%) 9.91% 7.63% 9.59% 11.01% 12.11% 11.14% 11.92% 12.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 103.59% 86.22% 114.83% 128.74% 125.9% 115.94% 115.86% 115%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.63% 9.75% 9.29% 10.2% 10.09% 8.74% 8.9% 8.99%
ROE 61.55% 76.6% 96.7% 109.71% 86.93% 65.23% 55.3% 49.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.12x 1.9x 1.99x 1.81x 1.67x 1.78x 1.39x 1.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.66x 5.57x 4.47x 3.57x 3.05x 3.55x 2.62x 2.29x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.25% 4.95% 4.27% 3.52% 3.69% 4.04% 4.23% 4.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.18% 22.1% 19.87% 16.17% 16.63% 18.18% 18.86% 18.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.91% 64.89% 44.57% 31.95% 30.44% 36.31% 35.5% 34.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.235 5.529 6.07 6.511 6.337 6.705 7.02 7.312
Change - -11.32% 9.8% 7.25% -2.67% 5.82% 4.69% 4.17%
Dividend per Share 1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.19 3.266 3.372
Change - 0% 0% 0% 0% -0.31% 2.39% 3.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.967 3.661 2.495 4.239 4.67 6.848 8.834 10.79
Change - -38.65% -31.86% 69.94% 10.16% 46.63% 29.01% 22.12%
EPS 1 3.272 3.147 2.99 3.09 3.46 3.712 4.149 4.458
Change - -3.81% -4.98% 3.34% 11.97% 7.28% 11.78% 7.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 187,376 187,292 184,309 186,371 193,566 197,600 197,600 197,600
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 2/11/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25.7x 23x
PBR 13.9x 10.8x
EV / Sales 2.88x 2.65x
Yield 3.34% 3.42%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
95.42CHF
Average target price
101.63CHF
Spread / Average Target
+6.51%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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