Projected Income Statement: Saint-Gobain

Forecast Balance Sheet: Saint-Gobain

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,287 8,232 7,393 9,778 10,356 9,363 8,542 7,092
Change - 12.97% -10.19% 32.26% 5.91% -9.59% -8.77% -16.97%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Saint-Gobain

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,441 1,940 2,029 2,049 2,049 2,075 2,146 2,235
Change - 34.63% 4.59% 0.99% 0% 1.26% 3.41% 4.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,998 3,771 4,006 4,031 3,752 2,987 3,168 3,452
Change - 25.78% 6.23% 0.62% -6.92% -20.4% 6.07% 8.95%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Saint-Gobain

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.04% 13.91% 14.6% 15.47% 15.5% 15.37% 15.69% 15.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.21% 10.42% 10.95% 11.39% 11.39% 11.05% 11.39% 11.73%
EBT Margin (%) 8% 8.17% 7.96% 8.43% 8.5% 8.73% 9.24% 9.71%
Net margin (%) 5.71% 5.87% 5.57% 6.11% 6.2% 6.31% 6.77% 7.13%
FCF margin (%) 6.79% 7.37% 8.36% 8.66% 8.07% 6.36% 6.61% 6.93%
FCF / Net Income (%) 118.92% 125.57% 150.09% 141.74% 130.14% 100.83% 97.53% 97.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.03% 5.62% 4.74% 4.78% 4.84% 4.81% 5.09% 5.43%
ROE 13.06% 13.83% 11.61% 11.75% 11.61% 11.73% 12.15% 12.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.17x 1.16x 1.06x 1.36x 1.44x 1.3x 1.14x 0.89x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.43x 2.18x 1.85x 2.43x 2.76x 3.13x 2.7x 2.05x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.26% 3.79% 4.23% 4.4% 4.41% 4.42% 4.48% 4.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.23% 27.24% 28.98% 28.44% 28.45% 28.76% 28.53% 28.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.07% 51.45% 50.65% 50.83% 54.61% 69.47% 67.73% 64.74%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.377 11.03 11.82 10.97 11.31 10.21 10.3 11.21
Change - 31.71% 7.15% -7.2% 3.11% -9.72% 0.88% 8.81%
Dividend per Share 1 1.63 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.348 2.519 2.721
Change - 22.7% 5% 4.76% 4.55% 2.1% 7.29% 7.99%
Book Value Per Share 1 39.74 43.34 46.35 50.59 49.81 52.72 55.96 60.45
Change - 9.06% 6.96% 9.13% -1.54% 5.84% 6.15% 8.03%
EPS 1 4.79 5.84 5.26 5.69 5.83 5.907 6.609 7.282
Change - 21.92% -9.93% 8.17% 2.46% 1.32% 11.88% 10.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 527,378 517,315 509,589 499,051 493,000 489,226 489,226 489,226
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.4x 10.2x
PBR 1.27x 1.2x
EV / Sales 0.9x 0.86x
Yield 3.5% 3.75%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
67.10EUR
Average target price
96.38EUR
Spread / Average Target
+43.64%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise