|
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 134.55 SEK | -0.74% |
|
-7.16% | -15.88% |
| 08-07 | SHB and Pareto reiterate buy on Paradox after earnings report | FW |
| 08-07 | Pareto Securities cuts Paradox target price to 155 kronor (160), reiterates buy | FW |
Projected Income Statement: Paradox Interactive AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,448 | 1,973 | 2,642 | 2,201 | 2,192 | 2,157 | 2,371 | 2,515 |
| Change | - | 36.3% | 33.92% | -16.7% | -0.41% | -1.58% | 9.92% | 6.05% |
| EBITDA 1 | 897.3 | 1,361 | 1,648 | 1,432 | 1,326 | 1,333 | 1,460 | 1,584 |
| Change | - | 51.64% | 21.13% | -13.12% | -7.41% | 0.51% | 9.57% | 8.51% |
| EBIT 1 | 307.5 | 887.1 | 657.9 | 721.4 | 146 | 718.9 | 865.1 | 986.8 |
| Change | - | 188.55% | -25.84% | 9.65% | -79.76% | 392.39% | 20.35% | 14.06% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -4.072 | - | - | - | -2.072 | -1 | -1 | -2 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 303.9 | 884.4 | 687.7 | 757.3 | 167.4 | 739 | 864 | 969.7 |
| Change | - | 191.03% | -22.24% | 10.12% | -77.9% | 341.49% | 16.91% | 12.23% |
| Net income 1 | 247.8 | 708.7 | 530.6 | 584.6 | 125.5 | 582.5 | 708.9 | 820.2 |
| Change | - | 186% | -25.13% | 10.18% | -78.54% | 364.31% | 21.69% | 15.71% |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/6/24 | 2/6/25 | 1/29/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Paradox Interactive AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -431 | - | -1,219 | -1,435 | -1,210 | -1,135 | -1,339 | -1,570 |
| Change | - | - | - | -17.72% | 15.68% | 6.2% | -17.97% | -17.25% |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/6/24 | 2/6/25 | 1/29/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Paradox Interactive AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 749.2 | 706.2 | 602.5 | 655.5 | 599 | 621.7 | 646 |
| Change | - | - | -14.68% | 8.8% | -8.62% | 3.78% | 3.91% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -12.66 | 745.6 | 521 | 581 | 627.3 | 711.3 | 772 |
| Change | - | - | -30.13% | 11.52% | 7.97% | 13.39% | 8.53% |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/6/24 | 2/6/25 | 1/29/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Paradox Interactive AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 61.99% | 68.97% | 62.38% | 65.06% | 60.48% | 61.77% | 61.57% | 63% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 21.24% | 44.97% | 24.9% | 32.78% | 6.66% | 33.32% | 36.48% | 39.24% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.99% | 44.83% | 26.03% | 34.41% | 7.64% | 34.26% | 36.44% | 38.56% |
| Net margin (%) | 17.12% | 35.92% | 20.08% | 26.56% | 5.72% | 27% | 29.89% | 32.62% |
| FCF margin (%) | -0.87% | - | 28.22% | 23.67% | 26.51% | 29.08% | 30% | 30.7% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -5.11% | - | 140.53% | 89.12% | 463.12% | 107.7% | 100.35% | 94.12% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | - | - | 15.79% | 15.43% | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 15.63% | - | 21.6% | 19.84% | 4.64% | 24.18% | 27.6% | 28.62% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 51.76% | - | 26.73% | 27.38% | 29.91% | 27.77% | 26.22% | 25.69% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 83.5% | - | 42.85% | 42.08% | 49.44% | 44.95% | 42.58% | 40.77% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -5,920.05% | - | 94.71% | 115.64% | 112.82% | 95.48% | 87.39% | 83.68% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 6.965 | - | 13.68 | 10.64 | 11.7 | 10.8 | 11.52 | 12.23 |
| Change | - | - | - | -22.23% | 9.96% | -7.66% | 6.65% | 6.21% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1 | - | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5.267 | 5.64 | 5.96 |
| Change | - | - | - | 0% | 66.67% | 5.33% | 7.09% | 5.67% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 15.73 | - | 24.81 | 27.55 | 23.65 | 22.87 | 25.09 | 27.66 |
| Change | - | - | - | 11.04% | -14.14% | -3.3% | 9.67% | 10.28% |
| EPS 1 | 2.34 | 6.7 | 4.99 | 5.53 | 1.18 | 5.615 | 6.653 | 7.58 |
| Change | - | 186.32% | -25.52% | 10.82% | -78.66% | 375.81% | 18.49% | 13.93% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 105,600 | 105,619 | 105,619 | 105,619 | 105,623 | 105,623 | 105,623 | 105,623 |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/6/24 | 2/6/25 | 1/29/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 24.1x | 20.3x |
| PBR | 5.92x | 5.39x |
| EV / Sales | 6.1x | 5.46x |
| Yield | 3.89% | 4.17% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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