Projected Income Statement: NEC Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 149,044 126,187 56,425 81,744 -169,819 -301,616 -575,989 -724,975
Change - -15.34% -55.28% 44.87% -307.74% -77.61% -90.97% -25.87%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 71,106 77,714 96,499 150,625 91,556 175,359 102,364 102,800
Change - 9.29% 24.17% 56.09% -39.22% 91.53% -41.63% 0.43%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 84,140 102,536 174,729 213,244 404,777 261,909 322,348 359,284
Change - 21.86% 70.41% 22.04% 89.82% -35.3% 23.08% 11.46%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.39% 10.68% 10.8% 12.9% 14.36% 15.79% 16.72% 17.18%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.4% 5.14% 5.41% 7.49% 10.05% 11.52% 12.49% 13.17%
EBT Margin (%) 4.79% 5.06% 5.32% 7% 11.11% 11.58% 12.38% 13.24%
Net margin (%) 4.69% 3.46% 4.3% 5.12% 7.54% 8.06% 8.6% 9.18%
FCF margin (%) 2.79% 3.09% 5.02% 6.23% 11.3% 7% 8.24% 8.84%
FCF / Net Income (%) 59.56% 89.55% 116.86% 121.73% 149.79% 86.86% 95.76% 96.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.89% 4.33% 4.51% 5.61% 9.07% 7.29% 7.73% 8.08%
ROE 10% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 13% 12.89% 13.04% 13.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.48x 0.36x 0.15x 0.19x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.77x 1.23x 0.32x 0.38x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.36% 2.35% 2.78% 4.4% 2.56% 4.69% 2.62% 2.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.71% 21.97% 25.68% 34.11% 17.8% 29.67% 15.65% 14.73%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 84.51% 75.79% 55.23% 70.64% 22.62% 66.95% 31.76% 28.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 236.2 220.8 253.2 250.4 319 344.7 380.2 407.9
Change - -6.53% 14.65% -1.08% 27.38% 8.06% 10.3% 7.28%
Dividend per Share 1 20 22 24 28 38 42.86 48.05 53.65
Change - 10% 9.09% 16.67% 35.71% 12.79% 12.09% 11.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,111 1,219 1,438 1,465 1,656 1,847 2,021 2,265
Change - 9.75% 17.92% 1.87% 13.07% 11.53% 9.43% 12.07%
EPS 1 103.7 84.9 112.2 131.5 203 226 253 281
Change - -18.13% 32.21% 17.15% 54.33% 11.34% 11.97% 11.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,362,288 1,331,749 1,332,286 1,332,707 1,328,499 1,326,342 1,326,342 1,326,342
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 22.9x 20.4x
PBR 2.8x 2.56x
EV / Sales 1.75x 1.6x
Yield 0.83% 0.93%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
5,168.00JPY
Average target price
5,936.67JPY
Spread / Average Target
+14.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise