Projected Income Statement: NEC Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 149,044 126,187 56,425 81,744 -169,819 -260,847 -470,806 -680,041
Change - -15.34% -55.28% 44.87% -307.74% -53.6% -80.49% -44.44%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 71,106 77,714 96,499 150,625 91,556 175,715 103,257 104,058
Change - 9.29% 24.17% 56.09% -39.22% 91.92% -41.24% 0.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 84,140 102,536 174,729 213,244 404,777 215,897 316,381 344,916
Change - 21.86% 70.41% 22.04% 89.82% -46.66% 46.54% 9.02%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.39% 10.68% 10.8% 12.9% 14.36% 15.6% 16.63% 17.13%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.4% 5.14% 5.41% 7.49% 10.05% 11.41% 12.54% 13.22%
EBT Margin (%) 4.79% 5.06% 5.32% 7% 11.11% 11.42% 12.39% 13.26%
Net margin (%) 4.69% 3.46% 4.3% 5.12% 7.54% 7.94% 8.59% 9.15%
FCF margin (%) 2.79% 3.09% 5.02% 6.23% 11.3% 5.65% 7.9% 8.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 59.56% 89.55% 116.86% 121.73% 149.79% 71.22% 91.9% 90.42%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.89% 4.33% 4.51% 5.61% 9.07% 7.07% 7.7% 8.03%
ROE 10% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 13% 12.82% 13.19% 13.23%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.48x 0.36x 0.15x 0.19x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.77x 1.23x 0.32x 0.38x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.36% 2.35% 2.78% 4.4% 2.56% 4.6% 2.58% 2.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.71% 21.97% 25.68% 34.11% 17.8% 29.5% 15.5% 14.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 84.51% 75.79% 55.23% 70.64% 22.62% 81.39% 32.64% 30.17%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 236.2 220.8 253.2 250.4 319 286.5 372 402.6
Change - -6.53% 14.65% -1.08% 27.38% -10.17% 29.83% 8.22%
Dividend per Share 1 20 22 24 28 38 43.03 48.55 54.38
Change - 10% 9.09% 16.67% 35.71% 13.23% 12.82% 12.02%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,111 1,219 1,438 1,465 1,656 1,833 2,015 2,257
Change - 9.75% 17.92% 1.87% 13.07% 10.69% 9.94% 12.01%
EPS 1 103.7 84.9 112.2 131.5 203 227.2 258.8 287.4
Change - -18.13% 32.21% 17.15% 54.33% 11.95% 13.9% 11.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,362,288 1,331,749 1,332,286 1,332,707 1,328,499 1,326,342 1,326,342 1,326,342
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 21.2x 18.7x
PBR 2.63x 2.4x
EV / Sales 1.61x 1.48x
Yield 0.89% 1.01%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
4,828.00JPY
Average target price
6,162.50JPY
Spread / Average Target
+27.64%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise