Projected Income Statement: MPLX LP

Forecast Balance Sheet: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,558 19,558 19,383 19,429 23,516 24,915 25,883 26,692
Change - 5.39% -0.89% 0.24% 21.04% 5.95% 3.89% 3.13%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 596 806 937 1,056 1,808 2,693 1,855 1,721
Change - 35.23% 16.25% 12.7% 71.21% 48.92% -31.11% -7.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,399 4,213 4,135 3,942 1,033 3,372 4,303 4,955
Change - -4.23% -1.85% -4.67% -73.8% 226.39% 27.63% 15.14%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 55.45% 49.73% 55.57% 56.68% 53.99% 56.31% 56.74% 56.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.81% 42.29% 43.44% 44.31% 45.72% 43.37% 44.17% 43.71%
EBT Margin (%) 31.05% 34.32% 35.25% 36.6% 38.16% 35.07% 36.57% 36.94%
Net margin (%) 29.28% 32.85% 33.94% 35.95% 37.79% 34.77% 35.92% 36.16%
FCF margin (%) 43.87% 36.28% 36.65% 33.03% 7.95% 25.98% 31.17% 33.9%
FCF / Net Income (%) 149.83% 110.43% 107.99% 91.89% 21.03% 74.72% 86.76% 93.76%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.16% 10.72% 10.61% 11.59% 12.2% 10.8% 11.5% 12.6%
ROE 23.89% 27.15% 29.75% 32.96% - 31.99% 36.26% 39.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.34x 3.39x 3.09x 2.87x 3.35x 3.41x 3.3x 3.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x 4.64x 4.69x 4.93x 22.76x 7.39x 6.01x 5.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.94% 6.94% 8.31% 8.85% 13.91% 20.75% 13.44% 11.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.72% 13.96% 14.95% 15.61% 25.77% 36.84% 23.68% 20.87%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.55% 19.13% 22.66% 26.79% 175.02% 79.86% 43.11% 34.74%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.782 4.969 5.386 5.847 5.799 5.999 6.557 -
Change - 3.92% 8.39% 8.55% -0.82% 3.45% 9.3% -
Dividend per Share 1 3.36 2.96 3.25 3.613 4.066 4.527 5.058 5.581
Change - -11.9% 9.8% 11.17% 12.54% 11.33% 11.74% 10.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.5 12.31 12.66 13.35 - 14.3 14.31 14.09
Change - 7.06% 2.86% 5.4% - - 0.09% -1.57%
EPS 1 2.86 3.75 3.8 4.21 4.82 4.316 4.802 5.155
Change - 31.12% 1.33% 10.79% 14.49% -10.46% 11.26% 7.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,019,864 1,003,243 1,001,217 1,018,812 1,017,065 1,014,734 1,014,734 1,014,734
Announcement Date 2/2/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 13.1x 11.8x
PBR 3.95x 3.95x
EV / Sales 6.34x 6.03x
Yield 8.01% 8.95%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
56.49USD
Average target price
60.71USD
Spread / Average Target
+7.48%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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