Projected Income Statement: Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 49,937 36,279 56,347 46,682 40,214 94,916 140,193 145,371
Change - -27.35% 55.32% -17.15% -13.86% 136.03% 47.7% 3.69%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/30/24 4/30/25 4/30/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 42,383 16,487 53,795 18,881 24,140 62,500 80,667 77,333
Change - -61.1% 226.29% -64.9% 27.85% 158.91% 29.07% -4.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,995 26,109 -12,027 45,122 32,778 -2,300 -13,117 -17,506
Change - 273.25% -146.06% 475.17% -27.36% -107.02% -470.29% -33.47%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/30/24 4/30/25 4/30/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.07% 12.89% 13.74% 13.38% 12.3% 12.84% 13.56% 14.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.05% 7.66% 7.44% 7.15% 5.82% 6.15% 6.52% 6.64%
EBT Margin (%) 10.08% 13.62% 15.39% 17.33% 29.28% 13.87% 16.6% 11.26%
Net margin (%) 6.96% 9.06% 10.92% 11.22% 20.03% 9.23% 10.98% 7.63%
FCF margin (%) 2.72% 8.69% -4.73% 15.88% 11.99% -0.81% -4.48% -5.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 39.1% 95.9% -43.28% 141.61% 59.84% -8.81% -40.84% -74.77%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.22% 5.29% 3.89% 2.85% 3.41% 3.76% 4.4% 2.98%
ROE 5.4% 7.8% 7.3% 8.2% 14.5% 7.1% 8.94% 6.56%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.49x 0.94x 1.61x 1.23x 1.2x 2.61x 3.53x 3.31x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.14x 1.39x -4.69x 1.03x 1.23x -41.27x -10.69x -8.3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.48% 5.48% 21.14% 6.65% 8.83% 22.1% 27.57% 25.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 126.11% 42.56% 153.8% 49.68% 71.78% 172.15% 203.36% 176.28%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 605.9% 63.15% -447.29% 41.84% 73.65% -2,717.39% -614.99% -441.74%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 81.83 107.9 113.4 133.6 206.2 132.7 160.5 -
Change - 31.83% 5.1% 17.85% 54.33% -35.65% 20.95% -
Dividend per Share 1 16 18 24 32 38 42.6 44.4 47.5
Change - 12.5% 33.33% 33.33% 18.75% 12.11% 4.23% 6.98%
Book Value Per Share 1 847.8 897.8 1,070 1,041 1,103 1,075 1,082 1,073
Change - 5.9% 19.15% -2.73% 6.01% -2.54% 0.63% -0.8%
EPS 1 43.89 68.4 71.89 85.92 155.8 77.02 96.69 71.36
Change - 55.83% 5.11% 19.51% 81.38% -50.58% 25.54% -26.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 405,873 390,731 380,472 363,374 343,171 339,527 339,527 339,527
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/30/24 4/30/25 4/30/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 19x 15.1x
PBR 1.36x 1.35x
EV / Sales 2.09x 2.17x
Yield 2.92% 3.04%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
1,461.00JPY
Average target price
1,600.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+9.51%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  5. Financials Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation