Projected Income Statement: FP Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: FP Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,574 58,420 77,905 69,077 61,493 55,149 58,967 69,086
Change - 5.12% 33.35% -11.33% -10.98% -10.32% 20.29% 17.16%
Announcement Date 4/28/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/30/24 4/30/25 4/30/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: FP Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 17,319 23,246 27,774 11,352 14,828 16,012 37,000 25,000
Change - 34.22% 19.48% -59.13% 30.62% 7.98% 87.82% -32.43%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,683 282 -7,703 18,465 12,990 13,387 -15,000 6,567
Change - -97.78% -2,831.56% 339.71% -29.65% 3.06% -266.67% 143.78%
Announcement Date 4/28/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/30/24 4/30/25 4/30/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: FP Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 15.08% 14.62% 14.17% 14.1% 15.06% 14.26% 14.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.53% 8.12% 7.91% 7.4% 7.84% 8.99% 8.61% 9.22%
EBT Margin (%) 9.17% 8.41% 8.01% 7.65% 7.76% 8.92% 8.41% 9.16%
Net margin (%) 6.2% 5.73% 5.46% 5.28% 5.3% 6.18% 5.71% 6.04%
FCF margin (%) 6.44% 0.14% -3.65% 8.31% 5.51% 5.57% -5.89% 2.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 103.87% 2.52% -66.81% 157.5% 104.04% 90.03% -103.09% 42.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.91% 6.55% 6.17% 5.62% 6.25% 7.3% 7% 6.1%
ROE 10% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.4% 9.4% 7.95% 8.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.72x 1.98x 2.52x 2.19x 1.85x 1.52x 1.62x 1.8x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.38x 207.16x -10.11x 3.74x 4.73x 4.12x -3.93x 10.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.79% 11.88% 13.15% 5.11% 6.29% 6.66% 14.53% 9.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 53.5% 78.75% 89.93% 36.06% 44.63% 44.22% 101.93% 65.05%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 136.55% 8,243.26% -360.56% 61.48% 114.15% 119.61% -246.67% 380.71%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 312.5 303.6 314.1 327.7 336.9 364.3 - -
Change - -2.85% 3.47% 4.33% 2.81% 8.14% - -
Dividend per Share 1 44.5 47 47 57 61.5 73 72.5 80
Change - 5.62% 0% 21.28% 7.89% 18.7% 1.4% 10.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,520 1,610 1,704 1,796 1,898 2,033 2,119 2,229
Change - 5.92% 5.8% 5.41% 5.68% 7.15% 5.53% 5.18%
EPS 1 147.8 137 140.9 143.5 154.5 183.9 179.9 200.8
Change - -7.33% 2.85% 1.87% 7.64% 19.04% -1.62% 11.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 81,806 81,833 81,848 80,822 80,851 80,877 80,877 80,877
Announcement Date 4/28/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/30/24 4/30/25 4/30/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E Ratio 12.8x 14x
PBR 1.16x 1.19x
EV / Sales 1.02x 1.03x
Yield 3.1% 2.87%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
2,525.00JPY
Average target price
3,035.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+20.20%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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