|
End-of-day quote
Xetra
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| - EUR | -.--% |
|
-5.79% | -27.05% |
| 10-02 | Barclays raises its price target for Evolution to SEK 685 (575), reiterates underweight | FW |
| 10-02 | UBS raises target price for Evolution to SEK 810 (750), reiterates Neutral | FW |
Company Valuation: Evolution AB
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 26,876 | 19,433 | 23,026 | 15,372 | 11,605 | 13,814 | - | - |
| Change | - | -27.69% | 18.49% | -33.24% | -24.5% | 19.04% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 26,522 | 18,980 | 22,120 | 14,664 | 10,878 | 13,012 | 12,905 | 12,504 |
| Change | - | -28.44% | 16.55% | -33.71% | -25.81% | 19.61% | -0.82% | -3.11% |
| P/E | 46x | 23.5x | 21.9x | 12.6x | 11.1x | 13.6x | 12.1x | 11x |
| PBR | 8.42x | 5.62x | 5.74x | 3.87x | 2.85x | 3.56x | 3.28x | 2.97x |
| PEG | - | 0.6x | 0.8x | 0.6x | -1x | 7.69x | 0.9x | 1.12x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 25.1x | 13.3x | 12.8x | 7.45x | 5.62x | 6.59x | 6.2x | 5.84x |
| EV / Revenue | 24.8x | 13x | 12.3x | 7.11x | 5.26x | 6.21x | 5.8x | 5.29x |
| EV / EBITDA | 36.1x | 18.8x | 17.5x | 10.4x | 7.97x | 9.44x | 8.81x | 8.03x |
| EV / EBIT | 40.6x | 20.9x | 19.4x | 10.3x | 8.65x | 10.8x | 10x | 9.13x |
| EV / FCF | 46.9x | 24.3x | 20.6x | 12.6x | 9.71x | 12.2x | 11.7x | 10.7x |
| FCF Yield | 2.13% | 4.11% | 4.86% | 7.94% | 10.3% | 8.18% | 8.54% | 9.36% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 1.42 | 2 | 2.65 | 2.8 | - | 2.694 | 3.048 | 3.378 |
| Rate of return | 1.13% | 2.19% | 2.45% | 3.76% | - | 3.71% | 4.2% | 4.66% |
| EPS 2 | 2.73 | 3.88 | 4.93 | 5.91 | 5.23 | 5.322 | 6.016 | 6.609 |
| Distribution rate | 52% | 51.5% | 53.8% | 47.4% | - | 50.6% | 50.7% | 51.1% |
| Net sales 1 | 1,069 | 1,457 | 1,799 | 2,063 | 2,067 | 2,095 | 2,226 | 2,366 |
| EBITDA 1 | 734.6 | 1,008 | 1,267 | 1,411 | 1,366 | 1,378 | 1,465 | 1,556 |
| EBIT 1 | 654 | 908.1 | 1,143 | 1,420 | 1,257 | 1,208 | 1,286 | 1,369 |
| Net income 1 | 605.4 | 843.4 | 1,071 | 1,244 | 1,062 | 1,026 | 1,088 | 1,152 |
| Net Debt 1 | -353.6 | -453 | -906.3 | -708 | -726.9 | -802.4 | -909.4 | -1,310 |
| Reference price 2 | 125.58 | 91.15 | 108.15 | 74.42 | 58.25 | 72.53 | 72.53 | 72.53 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 214,010 | 213,205 | 212,911 | 206,562 | 199,227 | 190,466 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/9/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 1/30/25 | 2/5/26 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23.09x | 5.95x | 13.95x | 1.69% | 24.77B | |
| 12.87x | 2.58x | 6.86x | 3.25% | 23.71B | |
| 12.55x | 2.07x | 7.23x | 5.9% | 17.1B | |
| 13.6x | 6.2x | 9.42x | 3.72% | 15.45B | |
| -73.77x | 1.31x | 8.92x | -.--% | 13.14B | |
| 12.68x | 2.14x | 7.91x | 8.76% | 11.89B | |
| 184.99x | 1.53x | 14.63x | -.--% | 9.73B | |
| 17.16x | 2.29x | 7.72x | 1.3% | 7.83B | |
| Average | 25.40x | 3.01x | 9.58x | 3.08% | 15.45B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 19.56x | 3.36x | 9.64x | 3.17% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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