Projected Income Statement: D.R. Horton

Forecast Balance Sheet: D.R. Horton

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,202 3,526 1,221 1,401 2,980 3,059 3,855 4,579
Change - 60.13% -65.37% 14.74% 112.71% 2.65% 26.02% 18.78%
Announcement Date 11/9/21 11/9/22 11/7/23 10/29/24 10/28/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: D.R. Horton

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 267.4 148.2 148.6 165.3 137.4 148.5 155.4 167.5
Change - -44.58% 0.27% 11.24% -16.88% 8.11% 4.62% 7.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 267 413.6 4,156 2,024 3,284 3,158 2,750 -
Change - 54.91% 904.71% -51.28% 62.19% -3.82% -12.91% -100%
Announcement Date 11/9/21 11/9/22 11/7/23 10/29/24 10/28/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: D.R. Horton

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.76% 21.66% 15.47% 15.34% 12.63% 12.99% 13.53% 14.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.29% 20.68% 14.63% 14.53% 11.78% 11.28% 10.98% -
EBT Margin (%) 19.29% 22.79% 17.81% 17.08% 13.84% 12.02% 12.4% 13.4%
Net margin (%) 15.03% 17.5% 13.38% 12.92% 10.47% 8.99% 9.28% 9.95%
FCF margin (%) 0.96% 1.24% 11.72% 5.5% 9.59% 9.33% 7.68% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 6.39% 7.06% 87.56% 42.56% 91.58% 103.77% 82.79% -

Profitability

        
ROA 19.47% 21.55% 15.08% 13.85% 10.02% 7.95% 9.2% 11.59%
ROE 31.25% 34.17% 22.55% 19.81% 14.48% 12.56% 13.86% 16.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 0.49x 0.22x 0.25x 0.69x 0.7x 0.8x 0.82x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.25x 8.53x 0.29x 0.69x 0.91x 0.97x 1.4x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.96% 0.44% 0.42% 0.45% 0.4% 0.44% 0.43% 0.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 5.13% 2.04% 2.71% 2.93% 3.18% 3.38% 3.21% 3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.15% 35.83% 3.58% 8.16% 4.18% 4.7% 5.65% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.461 1.583 12.54 6.604 11.04 10.22 10.79 -
Change - 8.39% 691.8% -47.33% 67.16% -7.43% 5.63% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.8 0.925 1.025 1.2 1.6 1.79 1.894 2.202
Change - 15.62% 10.81% 17.07% 33.33% 11.87% 5.83% 16.27%
Book Value Per Share 1 41.81 56.39 67.78 78.12 82.15 90.1 95.36 100.7
Change - 34.87% 20.2% 15.26% 5.16% 9.68% 5.83% 5.6%
EPS 1 11.41 16.51 13.82 14.34 11.57 10.57 12.05 15.12
Change - 44.7% -16.29% 3.76% -19.32% -8.63% 14.01% 25.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 358,194 347,481 338,297 325,839 298,124 283,580 283,580 283,580
Announcement Date 11/9/21 11/9/22 11/7/23 10/29/24 10/28/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.8x 13x
PBR 1.73x 1.64x
EV / Sales 1.4x 1.34x
Yield 1.15% 1.21%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
156.08USD
Average target price
168.23USD
Spread / Average Target
+7.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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