Projected Income Statement: AP (Thailand)

Forecast Balance Sheet: AP (Thailand)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,877 21,120 32,043 29,795 22,862 29,936 29,233 25,174
Change - 11.88% 51.72% -7.02% -23.27% 30.94% -2.35% -13.88%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AP (Thailand)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 113.2 127.9 74.36 541.5 50.02 628.7 512.7 477.5
Change - 12.98% -41.87% 628.27% -90.76% 1,156.72% -18.45% -6.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,918 -2,032 -10,910 2,535 1,786 3,273 3,524 3,315
Change - -205.94% -437.02% 123.23% -29.53% 83.25% 7.66% -5.94%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AP (Thailand)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.97% 15.83% 17.09% 15.44% 14.55% 13.97% 14.03% 15.24%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.68% 15.08% 16.32% 14.7% 13.92% 13.13% 13.22% 13.99%
EBT Margin (%) 17.02% 18.44% 19.34% 16.68% 14.08% 14.02% 14.73% 15.2%
Net margin (%) 14.29% 15.25% 15.91% 13.57% 11.56% 11.42% 12.02% 12.53%
FCF margin (%) 6.03% -5.27% -28.68% 6.85% 4.78% 8.27% 8.57% 7.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 42.21% -34.57% -180.2% 50.49% 41.38% 72.39% 71.28% 62.79%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.63% 9.14% 7.96% 5.95% 5.06% 5.36% 5.6% 5.91%
ROE 14.72% 16.99% 15.62% 11.89% 9.62% 9.6% 9.85% 9.84%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.97x 3.46x 4.93x 5.22x 4.21x 5.41x 5.07x 3.92x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.84x -10.4x -2.94x 11.75x 12.8x 9.15x 8.3x 7.59x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.36% 0.33% 0.2% 1.46% 0.13% 1.59% 1.25% 1.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 2.38% 2.1% 1.14% 9.48% 0.92% 11.37% 8.89% 7.44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.9% -6.3% -0.68% 21.36% 2.8% 19.21% 14.55% 14.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.64 -0.6051 -3.444 0.9778 0.5837 1.45 1.334 1.252
Change - -194.55% -469.23% 128.39% -40.3% 148.42% -8.03% -6.08%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.65 0.7 0.6 0.52 0.5354 0.5986 0.6399
Change - 30% 7.69% -14.29% -13.33% 2.96% 11.8% 6.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.31 11.68 12.96 13.88 14.65 15.56 16.58 17.64
Change - 13.27% 10.91% 7.13% 5.56% 6.19% 6.59% 6.39%
EPS 1 1.44 1.87 1.92 1.6 1.37 1.442 1.567 1.671
Change - 29.86% 2.67% -16.67% -14.38% 5.25% 8.7% 6.61%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 5.72x 5.26x
PBR 0.53x 0.5x
EV / Sales 1.41x 1.34x
Yield 6.49% 7.26%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
8.250THB
Average target price
9.896THB
Spread / Average Target
+19.95%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise