Projected Income Statement: Alcon Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,911 3,700 3,600 2,800 3,210 2,545 1,450 6.27
Change - 27.1% -2.7% -22.22% 14.64% -20.72% -43.03% -99.57%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 700 636 658 473 543 615.8 689 741.5
Change - -9.14% 3.46% -28.12% 14.8% 13.41% 11.88% 7.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 645 581 730 1,604 1,733 1,504 1,753 1,960
Change - -9.92% 25.65% 119.73% 8.04% -13.2% 16.55% 11.82%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.7% 20.59% 24.59% 25.24% 25.74% 26.9% 27.6% 28.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.4% 18.02% 19.56% 20.45% 19.6% 21.06% 22% 22.93%
EBT Margin (%) 5.04% 5.31% 8.8% 12.67% 11.15% 8.71% 15.13% 16.55%
Net margin (%) 4.54% 3.84% 10.3% 10.27% 9.42% 6.89% 10.69% 13.01%
FCF margin (%) 7.78% 6.67% 7.72% 16.18% 16.66% 13.57% 14.89% 15.66%
FCF / Net Income (%) 171.54% 173.43% 74.95% 157.56% 176.84% 196.84% 139.27% 120.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.82% 3.87% 3.31% 5.05% 4.91% 4.12% 5.54% 5.63%
ROE 5.58% 5.69% 4.83% 7.18% 6.98% 7.9% 8.77% 9.38%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.62x 2.06x 1.55x 1.12x 1.2x 0.85x 0.45x 0x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.51x 6.37x 4.93x 1.75x 1.85x 1.69x 0.83x 0x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.44% 7.3% 6.96% 4.77% 5.22% 5.55% 5.85% 5.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.91% 35.43% 28.3% 18.9% 20.28% 20.64% 21.2% 20.78%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 108.53% 109.47% 90.14% 29.49% 31.33% 40.94% 39.3% 37.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.726 2.462 2.796 4.175 4.577 4.763 5.322 5.715
Change - -9.7% 13.57% 49.34% 9.63% 4.06% 11.74% 7.38%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2159 0.2239 0.273 0.3138 0.362 0.368 0.4124 0.4726
Change - 3.72% 21.94% 14.91% 15.37% 1.66% 12.06% 14.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 39.3 40.04 41.81 43.59 44.68 44.63 46.8 50.26
Change - 1.9% 4.42% 4.26% 2.48% -0.09% 4.86% 7.39%
EPS 1 0.76 0.68 1.96 2.05 1.98 1.67 2.754 3.367
Change - -10.53% 188.24% 4.59% -3.41% -15.64% 64.88% 22.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 490,100 491,700 493,200 494,600 491,200 483,400 483,400 483,400
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 43.5x 26.4x
PBR 1.63x 1.55x
EV / Sales 3.4x 3.11x
Yield 0.51% 0.57%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
72.74USD
Average target price
91.39USD
Spread / Average Target
+25.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise