The prospect of interest rate hikes in the US and Europe in December, along with a selloff in US technology stocks, weighed on Wall Street this week. Despite mixed corporate earnings, European markets managed to come out ahead and regain some ground. Upcoming earnings reports are likely to keep volatility elevated and trigger sharp swings in major stock indexes.
Weekly variations*
DOW JONES INDUST...
51,770.31  -0.85%
Chart DOW JONES INDUST...
NASDAQ 100
28,384.85  -1.98%
Chart NASDAQ 100
S&P 500
7,580.07  -0.57%
Chart S&P 500
GOLD
US$3,875.19  -3.06%
Chart GOLD
WTI
US$102.85  +0.76%
Chart WTI
EURO / US DOLLAR
US$1.12  -0.53%
Chart EURO / US DOLLAR
This Week's Gainers & Losers

Gainers

FTAI Aviation +21.31%: The aircraft engine maintenance specialist reported a strong third quarter, with net profit rising 31% and adjusted EBITDA reaching $348 million. More importantly, the company doubled the size of its share buyback program.

Vertiv +19.65%: The supplier of power and cooling equipment for data centers continues to benefit from the AI investment boom. Third-quarter revenue jumped 61%, while organic orders more than doubled. The company raised its full-year guidance across the board.

Viasat +25.3%: The satellite communications specialist gained ground after announcing a partnership with Space42 and Canada's Terrestar Solutions. The three companies plan to connect their satellite networks to develop direct-to-device mobile connectivity services.

Insmed +20.55%: The biotech company benefited from the commercial success of Brinsupri, its treatment for bronchiectasis, with sales rising 29% from the previous quarter. Insmed raised its full-year forecasts for both of its marketed drugs, while Brinsupri recently made its debut in Japan.

SoFi Technologies +14.68%: The digital bank continues to grow at a breakneck pace. Adjusted net revenue rose 44%, while net income jumped 73%. The company added 1.2 million members in just three months, raised its full-year guidance and unveiled ambitious targets for 2027.

Losers

XP Inc. -53.01% and Nu Holdings -23.42%: The Brazilian brokerage and digital bank plunged 48% and 17%, respectively, on Monday following Lula's reelection as Brazil's president. Investors fear looser fiscal policies, persistently high interest rates and a slowdown in the Brazilian economy.

ServiceNow -33.87%: The software company suffered a sharp selloff despite a 20.5% increase in quarterly revenue and an upward revision to its full-year guidance. Investors focused instead on an expected slowdown in near-term backlog growth, from 20.5% to 18.5% in the fourth quarter, reigniting concerns about growing competition from AI agents.

Fortinet -24.4%: The cybersecurity specialist plunged 26% on Thursday despite reporting a 20% increase in quarterly revenue and raising its full-year guidance. Investors were disappointed by its growth outlook, amid concerns about whether the company's sales momentum can be sustained.

Alphabet -12.61%: Google's parent company suffered a historic selloff after reporting weaker-than-expected quarterly results. Slowing search advertising growth and, more importantly, negative free cash flow of $9.1 billion reignited concerns about the cost of the AI race, despite strong revenue growth at Google Cloud.

Boeing -8.92%: The aircraft manufacturer continues to disappoint investors with its struggle to ramp up production, particularly of the 737 MAX. Despite returning to positive free cash flow in the third quarter and making progress on aircraft certifications, persistent production challenges and another net loss have kept investors cautious.

Chart Commodities
Commodities

A rough week for platinum and palladium

For a change, this week's spotlight falls on platinum, which has lost 8.6% in just a few days. Palladium (-7.7%) and, to a lesser extent, silver (-4.8%) could just as easily have made the list.

What do they have in common? All three are both precious and industrial metals. That makes them more exposed to industrial and automotive demand than gold, leaving them particularly vulnerable to the wave of risk aversion that swept through markets. Gold itself fell to its lowest level since mid-July on Friday, pressured by rising crude oil prices and inflation expectations that strengthen the case for keeping monetary policy tight for longer.

Oil, meanwhile, remains elevated at around $115 a barrel, with no concrete solution in sight to the supply disruptions caused by the wars in Ukraine and Iran.

Chart Commodities
Macroeconomics
Macro: As expected, the Fed left interest rates unchanged this week, while keeping the door open to a hike in December. The decision looks increasingly like a reluctance to act, given that all the arguments for raising rates are already on the table. Recent data have shown inflation picking up again. And persistently high inflation is not just the result of soaring energy prices. It also reflects the strength of the US economy, fueled by AI investment. The ECB also left rates unchanged this week, as widely expected. The main takeaway from its meeting, however, was the official announcement of Christine Lagarde's early departure. The ECB president will step down on February 7.

Crypto: Bitcoin (BTC) is heading for its fourth consecutive weekly decline, down 4% since Monday. October has now wiped out all of September's gains, with an 8% drop ending a three-month winning streak. Most of Bitcoin's losses over the past 24 hours followed news of a cyberattack targeting Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange. The hack may have affected as much as $6.3 billion in assets, which would make it the largest theft in crypto history if that figure is confirmed. Hardly reassuring for investors, although Binance says it has managed to secure a significant portion of the affected funds by freezing certain assets. The exchange has also pledged to cover its users' losses. The panic has spread across the broader crypto market: ether (ETH) is down 4% this week, trading around $2,200, Solana (SOL) has tumbled 6.3% to $95, and Binance's BNB has lost 5.5%, hovering around $680. So much for "Uptober," the nickname investors have given October because of its historically strong performance. This year, the month has clearly decided to break with tradition.
Historical Chart
Investors are turning against their former technology darlings, as the industry's biggest names have failed to reassure markets about the business model underpinning the development of artificial intelligence. As is often the case in such situations, sharp volatility has taken hold.

Next week, two central banks and two major economic reports will be in focus. Markets expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (Tuesday) and the Bank of England (Thursday) to raise interest rates. Investors will also be watching annual inflation in the eurozone (Wednesday), which is expected to reach 3.8%, and the October US jobs report (Friday).

But the biggest event will be the US midterm elections, with results expected Tuesday night into Wednesday. The outcome should set the tone for the remaining two years of Donald Trump's presidency.

Have a great weekend!
Things to read this week
What Does the Future Hold for PayPal?What Does the Future Hold for PayPal?
Can the payment services provider, once dominant but now crushed by competition, reinvent itself and return to growth? Or is it doomed to "cannibalize" itself,... Read more
The Drug Patent Cliff: Which Pharmaceutical Stocks Have the Most to Lose?The Drug Patent Cliff: Which Pharmaceutical Stocks Have the Most to Lose?
Big Pharma is staring at one of the biggest waves of patent expirations in decades. According to Norstella forecasting data provided by Evaluate, between... Read more
What To Do When Markets Fall?What To Do When Markets Fall?
By Edward Bowsher - Markets fell last week on concerns about US tech stocks over-investing in AI, especially Meta. That fall may prove to be a temporary blip... Read more
*The weekly movements of indexes and stocks displayed on the dashboard are related to the period ranging from the open on Monday to the sending time of this newsletter on Friday.
The weekly movements of commodities, precious metals and currencies displayed on the dashboard are related to a 7-day rolling period from Friday to Friday, until the sending time of this newsletter. These assets continue to quote on weekends.