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Delayed
Cinnober Boat
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| - EUR | -.--% |
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-.--% | - |
| 09-11 | AlphaValue/Baader Europe Sees 'Limited' Upside for Verbund Amid Revenue Cap, Expected Hydro Normalization | MT |
| 09-10 | Verbund: A winner, albeit with limited upside from soaring energy prices |  |
Projected Income Statement: Verbund
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 896.9 | 10,346 | 10,450 | 8,245 | 8,014 | 7,392 | 8,167 | 7,462 |
| Change | - | 1,053.54% | 1% | -21.1% | -2.8% | -7.76% | 10.49% | -8.63% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,579 | 3,161 | 4,490 | 3,480 | 2,737 | 2,144 | 2,837 | 2,620 |
| Change | - | 100.17% | 42.07% | -22.5% | -21.34% | -21.69% | 32.33% | -7.64% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,162 | 2,626 | 3,502 | 2,726 | 2,112 | 1,505 | 2,137 | 1,866 |
| Change | - | 126.07% | 33.34% | -22.16% | -22.51% | -28.75% | 41.98% | -12.66% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -39.43 | -94.08 | 55.5 | -60 | -88.81 | -148 | -146.3 | -171.7 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,264 | 2,532 | 3,557 | 2,778 | 2,116 | 1,435 | 2,056 | 1,788 |
| Change | - | 100.25% | 40.49% | -21.9% | -23.84% | -32.18% | 43.27% | -13.02% |
| Net income 1 | 873.6 | 1,717 | 2,266 | 1,875 | 1,489 | 1,016 | 1,381 | 1,176 |
| Change | - | 96.55% | 31.98% | -17.25% | -20.58% | -31.78% | 35.9% | -14.84% |
| Announcement Date | 3/17/22 | 3/16/23 | 3/14/24 | 3/20/25 | 3/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Verbund
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 3,511 | 3,898 | 1,759 | 1,977 | 2,818 | 3,934 | 4,706 | 5,349 |
| Change | - | 11.02% | -54.87% | 12.39% | 42.54% | 39.6% | 19.62% | 13.66% |
| Announcement Date | 3/17/22 | 3/16/23 | 3/14/24 | 3/20/25 | 3/18/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Verbund
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 854 | 1,091 | 1,399 | 1,138 | 1,368 | 2,421 | 2,470 | 1,919 |
| Change | - | 27.77% | 28.16% | -18.66% | 20.29% | 76.96% | 2.01% | -22.31% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -755.9 | 928.6 | 3,684 | 2,111 | 550.2 | -404 | 106.5 | 245 |
| Change | - | 222.85% | 296.76% | -42.7% | -73.94% | -173.42% | 126.36% | 130.05% |
| Announcement Date | 3/17/22 | 3/16/23 | 3/14/24 | 3/20/25 | 3/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Verbund
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 176.05% | 30.55% | 42.97% | 42.21% | 34.16% | 29% | 34.73% | 35.11% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 129.52% | 25.38% | 33.51% | 33.06% | 26.36% | 20.36% | 26.16% | 25.01% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 140.98% | 24.47% | 34.04% | 33.7% | 26.41% | 19.42% | 25.17% | 23.97% |
| Net margin (%) | 97.4% | 16.6% | 21.69% | 22.75% | 18.59% | 13.75% | 16.91% | 15.76% |
| FCF margin (%) | -84.28% | 8.98% | 35.26% | 25.61% | 6.87% | -5.47% | 1.3% | 3.28% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -86.53% | 54.08% | 162.59% | 112.57% | 36.94% | -39.76% | 7.71% | 20.83% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 6% | 9.42% | 11.73% | 9.82% | 7.89% | 4.84% | 6.66% | 4.85% |
| ROE | 15% | 26.5% | 28% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 9.44% | 12.47% | 9.7% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.22x | 1.23x | 0.39x | 0.57x | 1.03x | 1.84x | 1.66x | 2.04x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -4.64x | 4.2x | 0.48x | 0.94x | 5.12x | -9.74x | 44.19x | 21.83x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 95.22% | 10.55% | 13.38% | 13.8% | 17.08% | 32.76% | 30.24% | 25.72% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 54.09% | 34.52% | 31.14% | 32.68% | 49.99% | 112.95% | 87.08% | 73.25% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -112.99% | 117.51% | 37.96% | 53.88% | 248.68% | -599.35% | 2,319.37% | 783.31% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.2826 | 5.814 | 14.63 | 9.35 | 5.52 | 5.065 | 6.662 | 6.395 |
| Change | - | 1,957.69% | 151.65% | -36.09% | -40.96% | -8.25% | 31.53% | -4.01% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.05 | 3.6 | 4.15 | 2.8 | 2 | 1.485 | 1.987 | 1.733 |
| Change | - | 242.86% | 15.28% | -32.53% | -28.57% | -25.77% | 33.82% | -12.77% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 15.72 | 20.94 | 28.7 | 28.72 | 29.77 | 31.28 | 34.19 | 36.03 |
| Change | - | 33.22% | 37.01% | 0.08% | 3.64% | 5.09% | 9.3% | 5.37% |
| EPS 1 | 2.51 | 4.94 | 6.52 | 5.4 | 4.29 | 2.916 | 4.087 | 3.503 |
| Change | - | 96.81% | 31.98% | -17.18% | -20.56% | -32.04% | 40.17% | -14.27% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 |
| Announcement Date | 3/17/22 | 3/16/23 | 3/14/24 | 3/20/25 | 3/18/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.3x | 15.2x |
| PBR | 1.99x | 1.82x |
| EV / Sales | 3.45x | 3.22x |
| Yield | 2.39% | 3.2% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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