Projected Income Statement: Telefónica, S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Telefónica, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,032 26,687 27,349 27,161 35,357 33,420 32,558 26,093
Change - 2.52% 2.48% -0.69% 30.18% -5.48% -2.58% -19.86%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Telefónica, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 6,164 5,508 5,851 5,521 5,055 4,578 4,532 4,542
Change - -10.64% 6.23% -5.64% -8.44% -9.44% -1% 0.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,648 4,566 5,798 5,473 4,667 2,609 3,009 3,518
Change - 72.43% 26.98% -5.61% -14.73% -44.1% 15.33% 16.92%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Telefónica, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 55.97% 32.14% 28.02% 27.09% 33.94% 33.63% 34.09% 34.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 34.59% 10.14% 6.38% 5.8% 12.97% 12.38% 12.98% 12.32%
EBT Margin (%) 30.79% 7.4% -3.62% 1.35% -3.99% 7.95% 9.13% 6.84%
Net margin (%) 20.72% 5.03% -2.19% -0.12% -12.29% 4.69% 5.48% 4.46%
FCF margin (%) 6.74% 11.42% 14.26% 13.25% 13.29% 7.2% 8.26% 9.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 32.54% 227.05% -650% -11,169.39% -108.08% 153.48% 150.72% 214.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.6% 1.84% -0.83% -0.05% -4.49% 1.51% 1.67% 1.1%
ROE 48.66% 8.5% -3.8% -0.24% -25.7% 9.54% 10.88% 11.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.18x 2.08x 2.4x 2.43x 2.97x 2.74x 2.62x 2.08x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.83x 5.84x 4.72x 4.96x 7.58x 12.81x 10.82x 7.42x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.69% 13.77% 14.39% 13.36% 14.39% 12.64% 12.45% 12.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.04% 42.86% 51.37% 49.32% 42.41% 37.58% 36.51% 36.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 232.78% 120.63% 100.91% 100.88% 108.31% 175.46% 150.61% 129.12%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.79 2.049 2.038 1.951 1.72 1.726 1.436 -
Change - 14.49% -0.55% -4.29% -11.82% 0.33% -16.76% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.35 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.15 0.1906 0.196
Change - -14.29% 0% 0% 0% -50% 27.04% 2.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.938 4.371 3.855 3.412 2.523 3.759 3.837 -
Change - 11% -11.79% -11.49% -26.07% 49.01% 2.07% -
EPS 1 1.38 0.31 -0.2 -0.06 -0.81 0.3152 0.3433 0.3152
Change - -77.54% -164.52% 70% -1,250% 138.92% 8.91% -8.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,740,607 5,712,115 5,670,162 5,637,545 5,637,918 5,630,400 5,630,400 5,630,400
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.1x 11.1x
PBR 1.01x 0.99x
EV / Sales 1.51x 1.48x
Yield 3.94% 5.01%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
3.807EUR
Average target price
3.933EUR
Spread / Average Target
+3.30%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TEF Stock
  4. Financials Telefónica, S.A.