Projected Income Statement: China Railway Construction Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Railway Construction Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 102,519 99,983 166,003 - 439,775 432,843 484,267 -
Change - -2.47% 66.03% - - -1.58% 11.88% -
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/28/25 3/30/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Railway Construction Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 30,926 27,791 31,065 35,189 44,908 31,734 45,636 33,724
Change - -10.14% 11.78% 13.28% 27.62% -29.33% 43.81% -26.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -38,230 28,344 -35,497 - -41,951 - - -
Change - 174.14% -225.24% - - 100% - -
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/28/25 3/30/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Railway Construction Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.02% 5.09% 6.65% 6.96% 7.09% 5.89% 6.08% 6.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.41% 3.41% 3.39% 3.03% 2.6% 2.72% 3.08% 2.78%
EBT Margin (%) 3.45% 3.45% 3.41% 3.04% 2.62% 2.53% 2.54% 2.6%
Net margin (%) 2.42% 2.43% 2.29% 2.08% 1.78% 1.78% 1.77% 1.72%
FCF margin (%) -3.75% 2.59% -3.12% - -4.07% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) -154.84% 106.39% -136.02% - -228.46% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 1.9% 1.85% 1.64% 1.26% 0.93% 0.87% 0.85% 0.85%
ROE 11.1% 11.05% 9.8% 7.69% 5.91% 5% 4.74% 4.57%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2x 1.79x 2.19x - 6.03x 7.09x 7.6x -
Debt / Free cash flow -2.68x 3.53x -4.68x - -10.48x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.03% 2.53% 2.73% 3.3% 4.36% 3.06% 4.35% 3.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 60.37% 49.82% 41.06% 47.35% 61.55% 51.98% 71.62% 52.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -80.89% 98.05% -87.51% - -107.05% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.5379 4.134 1.503 -2.314 0.2178 0.36 1.775 2.485
Change - 868.51% -63.64% -253.96% 109.41% 65.29% 393.06% 40%
Dividend per Share 1 0.246 0.28 0.35 0.3 0.3 0.3091 0.3103 0.3083
Change - 13.82% 25% -14.29% 0% 3.04% 0.39% -0.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 19.79 16.98 22.82 24.17 25.06 26.03 27.01 28.03
Change - -14.24% 34.41% 5.94% 3.67% 3.88% 3.76% 3.78%
EPS 1 1.6 1.76 1.73 1.46 1.18 1.309 1.314 1.348
Change - 10% -1.7% -15.61% -19.18% 10.96% 0.38% 2.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,579,542 13,579,542 13,579,542 13,579,542 13,579,542 13,579,542 13,579,542 13,579,542
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/28/25 3/30/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 4.61x 4.59x
PBR 0.23x 0.22x
EV / Sales 0.49x 0.54x
Yield 5.13% 5.15%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
6.030CNY
Average target price
10.13CNY
Spread / Average Target
+67.99%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  3. 601186 Stock
  4. 1186 Stock
  5. Financials China Railway Construction Corporation Limited
-40%: Exceptional extension
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