Projected Income Statement: Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 511 -5,044 -6,761 -10,043 -7,717 684 4,528 6,796
Change - -1,087.08% -34.04% -48.54% 23.16% 108.86% 561.99% 50.09%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/13/23 3/12/24 3/11/25 3/12/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 6,950 4,328 3,477 2,765 6,570 16,596 9,611 9,441
Change - -37.73% -19.65% -20.49% 137.61% 152.61% -42.09% -1.77%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - 6,629 4,491 4,317 715.9 -8,643 -543 2,914
Change - - -32.25% -3.87% -83.42% -1,307.33% 93.72% 636.74%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/13/23 3/12/24 3/11/25 3/12/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.61% 23.7% 20.3% 20.23% 19.47% 20.54% 24.05% 25.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.44% 15.52% 11.12% 11.51% 10.97% 12.54% 14.98% 16.22%
EBT Margin (%) 11.46% 15.52% 11.14% 11.51% 10.94% 12.6% 15.07% 16.31%
Net margin (%) 9.96% 13.84% 10.25% 10.3% 9.55% 11.12% 13.34% 14.46%
FCF margin (%) - 18.31% 14.01% 12.29% 1.83% -18.75% -0.91% 3.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 132.28% 136.64% 119.26% 19.15% -168.58% -6.8% 26.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.67% 13.14% 8.11% 8.34% 8% 9.85% 11.3% 10.85%
ROE 14.62% 19.37% 11.38% 11.73% 11.42% 14.12% 18.94% 22.36%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.08x - - - - 0.07x 0.31x 0.35x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - -0.08x -8.34x 2.33x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 20.86% 11.95% 10.84% 7.87% 16.78% 36.01% 16.06% 12.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 112.06% 50.42% 53.42% 38.89% 86.21% 175.28% 66.77% 49.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 65.28% 77.43% 64.04% 917.75% -192.02% -1,769.93% 323.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.852 4.72 3.434 3.055 3.143 3.585 4.693 5.71
Change - 154.91% -27.25% -11.05% 2.89% 14.06% 30.92% 21.66%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.7 0.5 1 1 1.03 1.709 2.712
Change - 40% -28.57% 100% 0% 2.97% 65.99% 58.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.3 12.04 12.78 13.85 14.73 16.64 19.06 22.29
Change - 16.84% 6.18% 8.37% 6.35% 12.97% 14.54% 16.97%
EPS 1 1.43 2.16 1.42 1.56 1.61 2.195 3.424 4.64
Change - 51.05% -34.26% 9.86% 3.21% 36.36% 55.95% 35.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,321,476 2,311,396 2,313,386 2,309,091 2,308,581 2,308,067 2,308,067 2,308,067
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/13/23 3/12/24 3/11/25 3/12/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 37.9x 24.3x
PBR 5.01x 4.37x
EV / Sales 4.19x 3.29x
Yield 1.24% 2.05%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
83.29CNY
Average target price
115.00CNY
Spread / Average Target
+38.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 002938 Stock
  4. Financials Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited