Projected Income Statement: Novo Nordisk A/S

Forecast Balance Sheet: Novo Nordisk A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -2,401 9,160 2,210 -3,224 76,479 64,191 34,812 6,982
Change - 481.51% -75.87% -245.88% 2,472.18% -16.07% -45.77% -79.94%
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 2/5/25 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Novo Nordisk A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 5,825 6,335 12,146 25,806 47,164 63,724 51,394 45,638
Change - 8.76% 91.73% 112.47% 82.76% 35.11% -19.35% -11.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,565 29,319 57,362 68,326 73,804 66,458 101,360 126,120
Change - 2.64% 95.65% 19.11% 8.02% -9.95% 52.52% 24.43%
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 2/5/25 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Novo Nordisk A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 47.17% 45.93% 46.44% 48.22% 50.77% 50.11% 50.93% 51.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.64% 41.65% 42.28% 44.16% 44.19% 45.35% 46.23% 46.48%
EBT Margin (%) 41.85% 41.96% 39.03% 45.07% 43.8% 44.84% 45.81% 46.04%
Net margin (%) 33.19% 33.92% 31.38% 36.03% 34.78% 35.15% 36.11% 36.53%
FCF margin (%) 22.5% 20.82% 32.42% 29.42% 25.41% 20.08% 26.71% 30.03%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.79% 61.39% 103.31% 81.65% 73.08% 57.13% 73.99% 82.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 31.15% 28.14% 25.48% 30.12% 25.88% 22.86% 23.52% 23.73%
ROE 69.7% 71.24% 72% 88.07% 80.78% 66.67% 59.68% 54.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.14x 0.03x - 0.52x 0.39x 0.18x 0.03x
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.31x 0.04x - 1.04x 0.97x 0.34x 0.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.59% 4.5% 6.86% 11.11% 16.24% 19.26% 13.54% 10.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.73% 9.8% 14.78% 23.04% 31.99% 38.43% 26.6% 21.12%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.39% 21.61% 21.17% 37.77% 63.9% 95.89% 50.7% 36.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.1 11.94 17.36 24.23 27.1 22.92 30.45 36.89
Change - 7.57% 45.37% 39.6% 11.85% -15.43% 32.84% 21.14%
Dividend per Share 1 4.55 5.2 6.2 9.4 11.4 13.18 15.34 17.04
Change - 14.29% 19.23% 51.61% 21.28% 15.63% 16.38% 11.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.47 15.31 18.31 23.77 32.31 46.16 57.28 70.7
Change - 13.65% 19.56% 29.84% 35.92% 42.86% 24.1% 23.42%
EPS 1 9.005 10.37 12.22 18.62 22.63 26.05 30.76 34.63
Change - 15.16% 17.84% 52.37% 21.54% 15.13% 18.07% 12.57%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,624,923 4,557,801 4,517,704 4,458,288 4,441,340 4,439,053 4,439,053 4,439,053
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 2/5/25 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 17.5x 14.8x
PBR 9.87x 7.95x
EV / Sales 6.3x 5.42x
Yield 2.89% 3.37%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
455.55DKK
Average target price
644.77DKK
Spread / Average Target
+41.54%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NOVO B Stock
  4. Financials Novo Nordisk A/S