XCL Joint Acquisition
June 2024
XCL Acquisition Overview(1) | Scaled Entry with Significant Runway
Undivided interest in high quality Uinta Basin properties to be operated by SM Energy in a joint acquisition. With its significant, long-lived and low-breakeven inventory, XCL sets milestones as NOG's largest and most accretive acquisition to date
$510 MM
PURCHASE PRICE
97.6
NET UNDEVELOPED LOCATIONS(3)
20%
UNDIVIDED INTEREST
~9,300
NET ACRES | UP TO 17
BENCHES
>$170MM
NTM CASH FLOW FROM
OPERATIONS(2)
>10,500
2024 RECENT
PRODUCTION BOE/DAY
<3.0x
TRANSACTION
MULTIPLE
OPERATING
PARTNER
- Purchase agreement signed June 27, 2024. Transaction effective date May 1, 2024. Company anticipates closing transaction in late Q3 or early Q4 2024, subject to satisfaction of customary closing conditions. All data reflects NOG's net interest in the assets.
- NTM starting October 1, 2024. NYMEX strip as of 6/24/2024.XCL Joint Acquisition June 2024 | 23) Normalized for 10,000 foot laterals, excludes wells-in-process.
XCL Is NOG's Largest & Most Accretive Acquisition To Date
XCL Asset Locator Map & Key Stats
WY | ||
NV UT | CO | UTAH |
AZ | NM |
Duchesne
Uintah
Key Stats | XCL Net to NOG (20%) |
Net Acres | 9,300 |
Net Production (Boe/d | % Oil)(1) | >10,500 | >85% |
NTM Cash Flow from Operations ($MM)(1) | >$170 |
NTM FCF ($MM)(1) | >$85 |
Net Undeveloped Locations(2) | 97.6 |
- NTM starts October 1, 2024. NYMEX Strip as of 6/24/2024.
- As of 5/1/2024 effective date, normalized for 10,000 foot laterals, excludes wells-in-process.
Key Financial Statistics
- Agreement to purchase 20% undivided interest in XCL assets for $510 MM
- Gross NRI: ~80%, net operated WI ~18%
- 95% HBP (78% fee, 16% tribal, 5% state, 1% federal) with all surface on fee acreage
- >$170 MM of cash flow from operations in the next 12 months(1)
- ~$85 MM expected capital spend in next 12 months(1), ~$45 MM post-closing in 2024
- Expect steady production of >10,000 Boe/d in 2025
- May 1, 2024 effective date, expected to close in late 3Q24 or early 4Q24, subject to satisfaction of closing conditions
- NOG to fund transaction with cash on hand and borrowings under NOG's Senior Secured Revolving Credit Facility
- Net Debt / LQA Adj. EBITDA remains <1.5x
Governance & Operator
- Partnership governed by cooperation and joint development agreement, with AMI in place
- NOG and SM Energy have jointly agreed to a future development plan
- SM to operate substantially all of the assets
Investment Rationale
- Accretive to all key financial metrics (<3.0x transaction multiple)
- Strong free cash flow with >$85 MM of NTM unlevered, unhedged asset level FCF(1)
- Significant long-dated Tier 1 inventory at a sub-$50 per barrel break-even price
- Provides entry into prolific oily Uinta Basin with additional growth opportunities
XCL Joint Acquisition June 2024 | 3
Uinta Inventory Competes With Core Permian
Uinta Basin combines core Delaware Basin productivity with the attractive cost structure of the Midland Basin
Type Curve Comparison | 10,000' Normalized Cumulative Oil
1,000
(Mbbl) | 800 |
600 | |
Oil | 400 |
Cum. | |
200 | |
0 |
XCL Uteland Butte wells pay out in average of 18 months
Uteland Butte Core
Uinta Basin
Core Stateline Wolfcamp A
Delaware Basin
Core Midland Co. Wolfcamp A
Midland Basin
0
10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 |
Producing Month
Single Well Economics by Basin(1) | 10,000' Normalized
Well Costs by Basin ($000s) | 10,000' Normalized
Core Midland | Core Delaware | ||
Uteland Butte | Basin | Basin | |
Oil EUR (Mbbl) | ~820 | ~590 | ~900 |
% Oil | 85% | 74% | 69% |
IRR (%) | 176% | 162% | 200% |
PV-10 ($MM) | $14.2 | $10.7 | $19.6 |
DC&E ($MM) | $8.0 | $8.0 | $10.5 |
DROI-10 (x) | 1.8x | 1.3x | 1.9x |
$8,000
Uteland Butte Core
Uinta Basin
$10,500
$8,000
Core | Core |
Midland Basin | Delaware Basin |
XCL Joint Acquisition June 2024 | 4
- NYMEX Strip as of 6/24/2024: 2024 - $80.08 WTI / $3.14 HH; 2025 - $75.30 WTI / $3.61 HH; 2026 - $71.11 WTI / $3.87 HH; 2027 - $68.42 WTI / $3.89 HH; 2028+ - $66.71 WTI / $3.82 HH.
Uinta Stacked Pay | Opportunity Rich Asset Play
More zones across a thicker column translates into significant future organic development opportunities
UINTA BASIN (30-40 WELLS PER MILE) |
DELAWARE BASIN (24-36 WELLS PER MILE)
WILLISTON BASIN (10-12 WELLS PER MILE)
5-6 wells/mile per bench
~350
Garden Gulch | 2-3 wells/mile per bench | |||
Garden Gulch | Upper | |||
Avalon
4-6 wells/mile per bench | ~400 ft |
Avalon |
Bakken
RESD cutoff: 20 ohm
Middle Bakken
Three Forks
ft
Douglas Creek | Douglas Creek Upper | ~1,200ft | ||||
Douglas Creek Middle | Cube | |||||
Douglas Creek Lower | ||||||
Castle | 3-4 wells/mile per bench | |||||
Peak | Castle Peak | Lower Cube | ||||
Uteland | ||||||
Butte | Castle Peak Lime | ~1,100 ft | ||||
Uteland Butte | ||||||
Upper Wasatch 5 | ||||||
Lower Wasatch 5 | ||||||
Wasatch 4 | ||||||
Wasatch | ||||||
2-3 wells/mile per bench | ||||||
Wasatch 3 | ~1,300 ft | Deep | ||||
Upper Flagstaff | ||||||
Lower Flagstaff | ||||||
Flagstaff | ||||||
RESD cutoff: 8 ohm |
1st Bone
Spring
2nd Bone
Spring
3rd Bone
Spring
WFMP
A
WFMP
B
RESD cutoff: 20 ohm
4-6 wells/mile per bench | ~1,100ft | |
2nd Bone Spring | ||
1st Bone Spring | ||
4-6 wells/mile per bench | ~1,600 | |
3rd Bone Spring | ||
Wolfcamp A | ||
Wolfcamp B | ft | |
- Uinta represents one of the last remaining stacked pay growth opportunities in the L48
- All oil-weighted Uinta stacked pay is available for development across the XCL position - typically limited to 2-3 zones across Delaware positions
- Core Uinta areas offer up to 40 wells per mile development across the Upper, Lower and Deep interval
- Uinta basin has one of the thickest productive oil-weighted hydrocarbon columns in the Lower 48
XCL Joint Acquisition June 2024 | 5
High Value Crude with Access to Premium Markets
Ample offtake with well-established oil and gas takeaway logistics
XCL Takeaway Locator Map | XCL Production Commodity Flows |
WYOMING | Production | |||
Facilities | ||||
1 | SLC Refineries | |||
COLORADO | Kinder Morgan | |||
Green River | ||||
(2026) | ||||
Kinder Morgan | ||||
Altamont / Bluebell | Kinder | |||
1 | Western | |||
Chipeta / | 1 | Morgan | ||
MPLX | Altamont / |
Wellhead
Contracted
Trucking
Ironhorse | Bluebell |
Mountain | |
2 | West |
2
Price River
Terminal
1
2 | Pipeline |
Williams Mountain | Demand |
West Pipeline | |
Markets | |
2 | |
3 | |
Price River Terminal | Locator Map Legend |
(Transload to Rail) | Gas Pipelines |
Gas Processing | |
Oil Takeaway | |
Oil | |
Gas | |
4 |
3
4
SLC Refineries
Rail
(UP / BNSF)
L48 Refineries
(Gulf Coast, Cushing
& Rockies)
Source: East Daley, RBN. | XCL Joint Acquisition June 2024 | 6 |
SM Partnership Is Consistent with NOG's Playbook Bolt-On
NOG repeats successful strategy of basin expansion through a scaled entry with a proven operator
Proven Operating
Partner
- SM and NOG have a longstanding working relationship historically in the Williston and more recently in the Permian
- SM is one of NOG's most efficient operating partners
- SM has an established track record of meeting or exceeding guidance
Scaled Entry with
Additional Growth
- Adds 9,300 net contiguous acres in the Uinta
- ~97.6 (net to NOG) oil-weighted locations that rival the quality of NOG's existing Permian Inventory
- Additional unquantified inventory within the JV provides future organic development opportunities
- Provides opportunity for NOG to "land and expand" with other operators
Governance &
Alignment
- Deal structure follows precedents set with MPDC, Forge and Novo
- JDA and AMI agreements ensure that SM's and NOG's interests are aligned
- Uinta Basin represents significant growth opportunity for both SM and NOG garnering ~25% of SM's 2025E capital budget
XCL Joint Acquisition June 2024 | 7
XCL Further Enhances & De-Risks NOG's Business Model
As NOG adds another substantial JV and fourth major region, its operator, basin and commodity concentration have declined markedly and substantially lowered business and cyclical risk for its investors
Basins(1)
Q2 2020 | Williston |
Pure-Play | |
100% |
Operators | Commodity |
23%
41
Operators
77%
9%
13%
37%
Current Diversified
91
Oil Gas & NGL
39%
41%
Williston | Permian | Appalachia | Uinta | |||||
Source: Public disclosures.
- Percentages based on 2025E production (boe).
Operators
61%
Oil Gas & NGL
XCL Joint Acquisition June 2024 | 8
Transaction Enhances NOG's Growth
Adds diversity and scale with a fourth joint venture and fourth basin in NOG's portfolio
Compelling long-term value - sets up for over 10 years of self-funding cash flow
High quality assets - adds significant <$50/bbl breakeven properties to enhance platform resiliency
Potential for incremental value creation from undeveloped locations and non-underwritten locations
Establishes NOG as Uinta player, attracting additional potential Uinta Basin opportunities
XCL Joint Acquisition June 2024 | 9
Appendix
Attachments
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Disclaimer
Northern Oil & Gas Inc. published this content on 27 June 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 27 June 2024 11:02:07 UTC.