Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 33,033 29,029 25,985
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -16.17% -12.12% -10.49%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 6,306 6,387 6,443
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 6.31% 1.28% 0.87%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 6,127 5,746 6,311
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,212.84% -6.23% 9.83%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 7.08% 7.49% 7.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.61% 4.76% 4.71%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.7% 3.93% 3.72%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.35% 2.46% 2.45%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.11% 2.08% 2.3%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 90.17% 84.78% 93.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 4.44% 4.41% 4.44%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 18.85% 16.9% 15.49%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.61x 1.41x 1.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.39x 5.05x 4.12x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.18% 2.32% 2.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 30.75% 30.92% 31.52%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 102.93% 111.17% 102.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 0.9786 1.283 1.075
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 109.19% 31.15% -16.26%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.2006 0.2136 0.243
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 100.62% 6.48% 13.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.568 3.865 4.09
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 9.55% 8.33% 5.8%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.5861 0.5849 0.5813
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 1,853.73% -0.2% -0.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,715,401 11,715,401 11,715,401
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.6x 11.6x
PBR 1.91x 1.76x
EV / Sales 0.39x 0.39x
Yield 2.95% 3.14%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
6.802USD
Average target price
8.440USD
Spread / Average Target
+24.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise