Projected Income Statement: Embraer S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Embraer S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,392 1,457 1,353 1,040 - -556 -914 -1,746
Change - 4.67% -7.14% -23.13% - - -64.39% -91.03%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/10/23 3/18/24 2/27/25 3/6/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Embraer S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 101.7 136.2 238.7 200.4 382 438.3 421.3
Change - 33.92% 75.27% -16.05% - 14.75% -3.88%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 247.1 615.1 378.3 670.9 220 432.9 560.1
Change - 148.93% -38.5% 77.35% - 96.73% 29.38%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/10/23 3/18/24 2/27/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Embraer S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.45% 10.11% 10.57% 14.55% 11.08% 12.31% 12.99% 13.28%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.8% 5.95% 6.53% 11.26% 8.02% 9.23% 9.94% 10.24%
EBT Margin (%) 0.65% -4.53% 2.14% 8.78% 3.53% 7.3% 8.84% 9.78%
Net margin (%) -1.06% -4.08% 3% 5.42% 4.64% 6.03% 7.02% 8.36%
FCF margin (%) 5.89% 13.55% 7.24% 11.05% - 2.59% 4.61% 5.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) -552.8% -331.77% 241.19% 204% - 42.94% 65.78% 66.11%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.43% 0.38% 1.57% 4.08% - 4.82% 5.99% 6.76%
ROE -1.57% 1.47% 6.14% 15.75% - 14.14% 15.57% 16.99%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.51x 3.18x 2.45x 1.18x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 5.63x 2.37x 3.58x 1.55x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.42% 3% 4.57% 3.3% - 4.49% 4.67% 4.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.63% 29.68% 43.23% 22.69% - 36.48% 35.97% 31.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.16% 22.14% 63.1% 29.87% - 173.59% 101.25% 75.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 0.1188 0.5217 0.2941
Change - - - - - - 339.08% -43.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.777 3.495 3.793 4.187 - 5.407 6.413 7.517
Change - -7.47% 8.53% 10.38% - - 18.61% 17.22%
EPS 1 -0.0608 -0.2524 0.2135 0.4477 0.4805 0.8734 1.098 1.447
Change - -315.1% 184.6% 109.67% 7.33% 81.76% 25.69% 31.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 734,633 734,633 734,633 734,633 707,682 705,067 705,067 705,067
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/10/23 3/18/24 2/27/25 3/6/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 16x 12.7x
PBR 2.58x 2.18x
EV / Sales 1.09x 0.95x
Yield 0.85% 3.74%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
13.96USD
Average target price
18.12USD
Spread / Average Target
+29.83%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EMBJ3 Stock
  4. Financials Embraer S.A.
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