Projected Income Statement: ConocoPhillips

Forecast Balance Sheet: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,460 7,400 12,331 18,210 16,463 16,327 14,178 9,960
Change - -48.82% 66.64% 47.68% -9.59% -0.83% -13.16% -29.75%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,324 10,159 11,248 12,118 12,553 12,004 11,943 12,164
Change - 90.82% 10.72% 7.73% 3.59% -4.37% -0.51% 1.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,401 18,155 8,717 8,006 7,243 7,864 9,498 10,740
Change - 74.55% -51.99% -8.16% -9.53% 8.57% 20.78% 13.08%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 44.88% 44.64% 43.92% 42.86% 41.31% 48.58% 45.35% 44.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.97% 35.51% 29.8% 26% 22.63% 19.22% 21.17% 25.54%
EBT Margin (%) 26.29% 34.36% 27.81% 24.01% 20.56% 18.75% 20.32% 23.98%
Net margin (%) 16.71% 22.74% 18.71% 16.23% 12.98% 10.35% 13.19% 14.72%
FCF margin (%) 21.51% 22.1% 14.88% 14.06% 11.77% 12.76% 15.01% 16.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.74% 97.19% 79.56% 86.6% 90.67% 123.29% 113.86% 109%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.44% 18.8% 11.55% 8.45% 6.53% 6.15% 6.1% 7%
ROE 21.26% 37.13% 21.82% 16.21% 12.36% 11.38% 12.05% 14.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.67x 0.2x 0.48x 0.75x 0.65x 0.55x 0.49x 0.34x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.39x 0.41x 1.41x 2.27x 2.27x 2.08x 1.49x 0.93x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.01% 12.37% 19.2% 21.28% 20.4% 19.48% 18.88% 18.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.54% 27.7% 43.72% 49.65% 49.37% 40.09% 41.63% 41.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 51.19% 55.96% 129.04% 151.36% 173.31% 152.66% 125.75% 113.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.8 22.15 17.24 16.9 15.79 17.67 18.97 19.68
Change - 73.11% -22.19% -1.96% -6.54% 11.91% 7.34% 3.7%
Dividend per Share 1 1.75 1.89 2.11 2.52 - 3.386 3.511 3.645
Change - 8% 11.64% 19.43% - - 3.71% 3.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.87 39.22 41.83 50.79 51.45 53.28 53.91 54.65
Change - 12.49% 6.64% 21.41% 1.3% 3.56% 1.18% 1.37%
EPS 1 6.07 14.57 9.46 7.81 6.35 5.24 6.777 8.47
Change - 140.03% -35.07% -17.44% -18.69% -17.48% 29.33% 24.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,318,947 1,246,071 1,187,408 1,293,562 1,235,718 1,218,853 1,218,853 1,218,853
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.4x 18.1x
PBR 2.3x 2.27x
EV / Sales 2.69x 2.59x
Yield 2.76% 2.87%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
122.55USD
Average target price
134.63USD
Spread / Average Target
+9.86%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. COP Stock
  4. Financials ConocoPhillips