Projected Income Statement: ConocoPhillips

Forecast Balance Sheet: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,460 7,400 12,331 18,210 16,463 14,148 13,397 10,593
Change - -48.82% 66.64% 47.68% -9.59% -14.06% -5.31% -20.93%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,324 10,159 11,248 12,118 12,553 12,195 12,043 11,976
Change - 90.82% 10.72% 7.73% 3.59% -2.85% -1.25% -0.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,401 18,155 8,717 8,006 7,243 13,374 11,868 12,119
Change - 74.55% -51.99% -8.16% -9.53% 84.65% -11.26% 2.11%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 44.88% 44.64% 43.92% 42.86% 41.31% 44.26% 43.7% 45.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.97% 35.51% 29.8% 26% 22.63% 28.53% 26.91% 27.68%
EBT Margin (%) 26.29% 34.36% 27.81% 24.01% 20.56% 27.17% 25.5% 26.92%
Net margin (%) 16.71% 22.74% 18.71% 16.23% 12.98% 17.77% 16.39% 16.29%
FCF margin (%) 21.51% 22.1% 14.88% 14.06% 11.77% 18.43% 17.69% 18.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.74% 97.19% 79.56% 86.6% 90.67% 103.72% 107.93% 111.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.44% 18.8% 11.55% 8.45% 6.53% - - -
ROE 21.26% 37.13% 21.82% 16.21% 12.36% 18.38% 15.98% 16.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.67x 0.2x 0.48x 0.75x 0.65x 0.44x 0.46x 0.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.39x 0.41x 1.41x 2.27x 2.27x 1.06x 1.13x 0.87x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.01% 12.37% 19.2% 21.28% 20.4% 16.8% 17.95% 17.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.54% 27.7% 43.72% 49.65% 49.37% 37.96% 41.08% 39.07%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 51.19% 55.96% 129.04% 151.36% 173.31% 91.18% 101.48% 98.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.8 22.15 17.24 16.9 15.79 21.03 21.08 22.01
Change - 73.11% -22.19% -1.96% -6.54% 33.14% 0.28% 4.4%
Dividend per Share 1 1.75 1.89 2.11 2.52 3.18 3.397 3.566 3.701
Change - 8% 11.64% 19.43% 26.19% 6.82% 4.96% 3.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.87 39.22 41.83 50.79 51.45 55.89 58.26 61.03
Change - 12.49% 6.64% 21.41% 1.3% 8.64% 4.24% 4.75%
EPS 1 6.07 14.57 9.46 7.81 6.35 10.59 9.388 9.711
Change - 140.03% -35.07% -17.44% -18.69% 66.75% -11.34% 3.44%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,318,947 1,246,071 1,187,408 1,293,562 1,235,718 1,201,337 1,201,337 1,201,337
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/2/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13x 14.6x
PBR 2.46x 2.36x
EV / Sales 2.47x 2.66x
Yield 2.47% 2.6%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
137.35USD
Average target price
145.44USD
Spread / Average Target
+5.89%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. COP Stock
  4. Financials ConocoPhillips
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